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601666:SSEPingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

CN¥9.19

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at CNY 9.19, just below its 52‑week high of CNY 9.25 and comfortably above the 20‑day (CNY 8.79), 50‑day (CNY 8.45) and 200‑day (CNY 8.17) moving averages, indicating a bullish price trend. RSI at 60.7 suggests momentum is still positive, while the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at a potential short‑term pullback. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the current price move, and the technical support sits around CNY 8.18 with resistance near CNY 9.25. Price‑to‑book is below 1 (0.93), which traditionally signals a discount to net asset value, yet the forward PE of 19.8 contrasts sharply with the trailing PE of 39.96, reflecting a steep earnings expectation shift. Dividend yield is attractive at 6.77% but the payout ratio of 264% is clearly unsustainable given negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. Overall, the technical picture is mixed – bullish trend with early signs of weakening momentum – while fundamentals remain weak, especially the high debt‑to‑equity of 88.7% and low ROE of 2.1%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical bearish MACD signal
  • Overvalued PE relative to industry
  • Unsustainable dividend payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish price trend above key SMAs
  • High debt load limiting earnings upside
  • Volatility around 44% indicating price swings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Potential policy support for domestic coal
  • Low beta suggesting limited systematic risk
  • Fundamental weakness in cash flow and margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-33.00%
Profit Margin2.68%
P/E Ratio40.0
ROE2.10%
ROA1.56%
Debt/Equity88.70
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-36691544
Free Cash FlowCN¥-3722537472
Industry P/E21.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.7
SupportCN¥8.18
ResistanceCN¥9.25
MA 20CN¥8.79
MA 50CN¥8.45
MA 200CN¥8.17
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.61

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.77%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility44.24%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.