601618:SSEMetallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-13 - not real-time
CN¥2.59
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At ¥2.59, Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 4.8%. RSI sits at 49.3, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Watch ¥2.52 as support and ¥2.66 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 6.8 sits below the sector average of 28.0. Sell-side targets cluster 18.9% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 27.4% on a 0.1% profit margin. The 2.10% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 21.2%, a beta of 0.35 and a maximum drawdown of 41.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 5 out of 10.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 6.8 sits below the sector average of 28.0. Sell-side targets cluster 18.9% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 27.4% on a 0.1% profit margin. The 2.10% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 21.2%, a beta of 0.35 and a maximum drawdown of 41.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 5 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 2.89
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 6.8 versus sector average of 28.0
- Dividend yield of 2.10% looks stretched against payout coverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 6.8 versus sector average of 28.0
- Dividend yield of 2.10% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +18.9% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-27.40%
Profit Margin0.15%
P/E Ratio6.8
ROE3.67%
ROA0.82%
Debt/Equity43.28
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥14.5B
Free Cash FlowCN¥48.8B
Industry P/E28.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI49.3
SupportCN¥2.52
ResistanceCN¥2.66
MA 20CN¥2.58
MA 50CN¥2.61
MA 200CN¥2.89
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥28.60
Target PriceCN¥3.08
Upside/Downside18.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.10%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.35
Volatility21.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.