601377:SSEChina Industrial Securities Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
CN¥5.71
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The share price sits below the 20‑day (≈5.96), 50‑day (≈5.99) and 200‑day (≈6.62) simple moving averages, with a 14‑day RSI around 35 indicating mild oversold conditions. The MACD line remains under its signal line, the histogram is negative, and volume has been trending down, suggesting short‑term bearish pressure. Immediate support is near 5.63 CNY and resistance around 6.21 CNY.
Fundamental backdrop: Valuation metrics are modest – a trailing P/E of ~16.8 aligns with the sector average, while a P/B of 0.87 places the stock below book value. The dividend yield of 2.6% is supported by a payout ratio under 45% and a cash pile that exceeds total debt, though the debt‑to‑equity ratio is high (>250%). ROE and ROA are low, highlighting profitability concerns, but the DCF‑derived fair value is dramatically higher than the market price, implying potential upside if earnings improve.
Fundamental backdrop: Valuation metrics are modest – a trailing P/E of ~16.8 aligns with the sector average, while a P/B of 0.87 places the stock below book value. The dividend yield of 2.6% is supported by a payout ratio under 45% and a cash pile that exceeds total debt, though the debt‑to‑equity ratio is high (>250%). ROE and ROA are low, highlighting profitability concerns, but the DCF‑derived fair value is dramatically higher than the market price, implying potential upside if earnings improve.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price trading below key moving averages
- RSI indicating mild oversold condition
- proximity to near‑term support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- valuation below book value (P/B < 1)
- strong cash position relative to debt
- attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- potential recovery in China capital markets
- long‑term cash net surplus supporting stability
- persistent dividend income enhancing total return
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.60%
Profit Margin26.44%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE6.20%
ROA1.23%
Debt/Equity255.84
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥36.4B
Industry P/E16.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.2
SupportCN¥5.63
ResistanceCN¥6.21
MA 20CN¥5.96
MA 50CN¥5.99
MA 200CN¥6.62
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.32
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥56.11
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.63%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.51
Volatility16.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.