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601333:SSEGuangshen Railway Company Limited Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

CN¥3.02

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price is trading at 3.02 CNY, just below the 20‑day SMA of 3.09 and the 50‑day SMA of 3.09, and hovering near the identified support level of 2.99. Technical signals are mixed: the MACD is in a bearish configuration with a negative histogram, RSI sits at 42.7 indicating neutral momentum, and volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting short‑term pressure on the stock.
Fundamentals paint a more attractive picture: a trailing PE of 13.7 versus an industry average of 30, a PB of 0.74, and a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 5.40 CNY signal significant undervaluation. Revenue grew 7.2% YoY, the company generates solid operating cash flow, maintains a dividend yield of 2.32% with a modest 32% payout ratio, and holds net cash comfortably above its debt, supporting dividend sustainability and long‑term upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with bearish MACD
  • Decreasing volume indicating limited buying pressure
  • Neutral RSI suggests no immediate upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap (PE 13.7 vs industry 30)
  • DCF fair value far above current price
  • Stable dividend yield and sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue growth and strong cash generation
  • Low beta (0.15) indicating limited market volatility exposure
  • Strategic position in China's rail network with long‑term demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.20%
Profit Margin5.27%
P/E Ratio13.7
ROE5.44%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity4.84
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.0B
Industry P/E30.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.7
SupportCN¥2.99
ResistanceCN¥3.27
MA 20CN¥3.09
MA 50CN¥3.09
MA 200CN¥3.12
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.32

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥5.40
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.32%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.15
Volatility21.18%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.