601333:SSEGuangshen Railway Company Limited Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
CN¥3.02
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price is trading at 3.02 CNY, just below the 20‑day SMA of 3.09 and the 50‑day SMA of 3.09, and hovering near the identified support level of 2.99. Technical signals are mixed: the MACD is in a bearish configuration with a negative histogram, RSI sits at 42.7 indicating neutral momentum, and volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting short‑term pressure on the stock.
Fundamentals paint a more attractive picture: a trailing PE of 13.7 versus an industry average of 30, a PB of 0.74, and a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 5.40 CNY signal significant undervaluation. Revenue grew 7.2% YoY, the company generates solid operating cash flow, maintains a dividend yield of 2.32% with a modest 32% payout ratio, and holds net cash comfortably above its debt, supporting dividend sustainability and long‑term upside.
Fundamentals paint a more attractive picture: a trailing PE of 13.7 versus an industry average of 30, a PB of 0.74, and a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 5.40 CNY signal significant undervaluation. Revenue grew 7.2% YoY, the company generates solid operating cash flow, maintains a dividend yield of 2.32% with a modest 32% payout ratio, and holds net cash comfortably above its debt, supporting dividend sustainability and long‑term upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near support with bearish MACD
- Decreasing volume indicating limited buying pressure
- Neutral RSI suggests no immediate upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap (PE 13.7 vs industry 30)
- DCF fair value far above current price
- Stable dividend yield and sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent revenue growth and strong cash generation
- Low beta (0.15) indicating limited market volatility exposure
- Strategic position in China's rail network with long‑term demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.20%
Profit Margin5.27%
P/E Ratio13.7
ROE5.44%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity4.84
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.0B
Industry P/E30.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.7
SupportCN¥2.99
ResistanceCN¥3.27
MA 20CN¥3.09
MA 50CN¥3.09
MA 200CN¥3.12
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.32
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥5.40
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.32%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.15
Volatility21.18%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.