601238:SSEGuangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time
CN¥5.09
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At ¥5.09, Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 7.8%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 44.6 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Watch ¥5.00 as support and ¥5.48 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look undervalued at 9.8 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 3.0% below the current quote. Revenue is growing at 15.6% on a -10.7% profit margin. The 0.79% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 37.5%, a beta of 0.19 and a maximum drawdown of 47.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — sell short-term against hold longer out, with 2/10 conviction on the long call.
The shares look undervalued at 9.8 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 3.0% below the current quote. Revenue is growing at 15.6% on a -10.7% profit margin. The 0.79% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 37.5%, a beta of 0.19 and a maximum drawdown of 47.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — sell short-term against hold longer out, with 2/10 conviction on the long call.
Top Market Events
Guangzhou Automobile Group saw sharp sales declines in April 2026 through its joint ventures, with GLatest Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd 601238:SHH.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6.84
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Dividend yield of 0.79% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6.84
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 0.79% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Negative profit margin of -10.7%
- Negative return on equity of -12.5%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.60%
Profit Margin-10.67%
P/E Ratio9.8
ROE-12.54%
ROA-4.40%
Debt/Equity49.40
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-11361278976
Free Cash FlowCN¥-14602541056
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.6
SupportCN¥5.00
ResistanceCN¥5.48
MA 20CN¥5.18
MA 50CN¥5.20
MA 200CN¥6.84
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥4.94
Upside/Downside-3.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.79%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.19
Volatility37.50%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.