601225:SSEShaanxi Coal Industry Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225) is trading at CNY 23.94, just above the computed support of CNY 22.82 and below its 20‑day SMA of CNY 25.67, indicating limited upside in the near term. The stock shows a bullish long‑term trend (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200) but the MACD histogram is negative and the 14‑day RSI sits at 38, suggesting short‑term momentum weakness. Valuation metrics are mixed: the trailing P/E of 14.3 is well below the industry average of 20.7, implying relative undervaluation, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 15.3 is far beneath the current price, pointing to potential overpricing. The company boasts a strong balance sheet with CNY 40.8 bn cash versus CNY 26.0 bn debt and generates robust free cash flow (CNY 10.1 bn), supporting its generous 5.68% dividend yield. However, high 30‑day volatility (≈43%) and a negative beta indicate price swings that are largely independent of the broader market.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price hovering just above key support with limited upside
- Bearish MACD signal and RSI below 40 indicating momentum weakness
- Elevated short‑term volatility (~43%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Trailing P/E well below industry average, suggesting value upside
- Strong cash position and sustainable dividend yield
- Bullish longer‑term SMA alignment indicating potential price recovery
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Increasing regulatory pressure on thermal coal in China
- Current price far above DCF fair value, limiting upside
- Solid balance sheet and dividend income provide defensive appeal
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.