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601225:SSEShaanxi Coal Industry Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-30 - not real-time

CN¥24.74

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225) is trading at CNY 24.74, just below its 20‑day SMA of 24.01 and well above the 200‑day SMA of 23.65, indicating a modest upward bias. The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line sits above the signal line, delivering a bullish technical signal, yet price is flirting with the calculated resistance around CNY 25.6. Valuation metrics are attractive: the trailing P/E of 14.8 is markedly below the industry average of 21.8, though the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly CNY 15 suggests the market may be pricing in a premium. The company generates a robust dividend yield of 3.85% with a payout ratio near 70%, supported by strong operating cash flow and a low debt‑to‑equity ratio of 17.8%. However, revenue has slipped 3% year‑over‑year and the 30‑day volatility exceeds 44%, implying price swings could be pronounced. Overall, the stock offers solid cash generation and an appealing dividend, but faces sector headwinds, high volatility, and a potential valuation premium.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with bullish MACD but limited upside
  • High short‑term volatility could trigger sharp moves
  • Attractive dividend yield provides income cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation still above DCF fair value, limiting upside
  • Stable cash flow and low leverage support earnings stability
  • Coal sector regulatory pressure may constrain growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low P/E relative to peers signals long‑run value opportunity
  • Consistent dividend and strong free cash flow underpin sustainability
  • Debt profile and cash reserves provide resilience amid sector transition

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.00%
Profit Margin10.30%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE18.52%
ROA7.43%
Debt/Equity17.84
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash FlowCN¥37.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥10.1B
Industry P/E21.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI55.0
SupportCN¥21.36
ResistanceCN¥25.60
MA 20CN¥24.01
MA 50CN¥24.21
MA 200CN¥23.65
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.7

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥15.05
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.09
Volatility44.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.