601225:SSEShaanxi Coal Industry Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-30 - not real-time
CN¥24.74
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225) is trading at CNY 24.74, just below its 20‑day SMA of 24.01 and well above the 200‑day SMA of 23.65, indicating a modest upward bias. The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line sits above the signal line, delivering a bullish technical signal, yet price is flirting with the calculated resistance around CNY 25.6. Valuation metrics are attractive: the trailing P/E of 14.8 is markedly below the industry average of 21.8, though the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly CNY 15 suggests the market may be pricing in a premium. The company generates a robust dividend yield of 3.85% with a payout ratio near 70%, supported by strong operating cash flow and a low debt‑to‑equity ratio of 17.8%. However, revenue has slipped 3% year‑over‑year and the 30‑day volatility exceeds 44%, implying price swings could be pronounced. Overall, the stock offers solid cash generation and an appealing dividend, but faces sector headwinds, high volatility, and a potential valuation premium.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with bullish MACD but limited upside
- High short‑term volatility could trigger sharp moves
- Attractive dividend yield provides income cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Valuation still above DCF fair value, limiting upside
- Stable cash flow and low leverage support earnings stability
- Coal sector regulatory pressure may constrain growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Low P/E relative to peers signals long‑run value opportunity
- Consistent dividend and strong free cash flow underpin sustainability
- Debt profile and cash reserves provide resilience amid sector transition
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.00%
Profit Margin10.30%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE18.52%
ROA7.43%
Debt/Equity17.84
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash FlowCN¥37.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥10.1B
Industry P/E21.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.0
SupportCN¥21.36
ResistanceCN¥25.60
MA 20CN¥24.01
MA 50CN¥24.21
MA 200CN¥23.65
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.7
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥15.05
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.09
Volatility44.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.