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601117:SSEChina National Chemical Engineering Co., Ltd Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time

CN¥7.54

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

China National Chemical Engineering is trading well below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias, yet the MACD line has crossed above its signal, offering a subtle bullish hint. Technical momentum is mixed: RSI sits near the midpoint, volume has been tapering, and volatility is markedly high, suggesting price swings could continue.
Fundamentally, the stock boasts a very low price‑to‑earnings multiple compared with its industry peers, a sub‑one price‑to‑book ratio, and a price‑to‑sales figure that underscores deep discounting. Cash on hand comfortably exceeds debt, free cash flow is positive, and the dividend yield is attractive with a modest payout ratio, indicating earnings can sustain the distribution.
A discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well above the current market price, implying sizable upside potential. However, the sector’s cyclicality, heightened volatility, and a recent decline in trading activity temper enthusiasm, making a measured approach prudent.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • MACD bullish crossover
  • elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • significant valuation discount to industry peers
  • strong cash position and sustainable dividend
  • potential upside toward resistance level

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived fair value far exceeds current price
  • stable earnings and modest revenue growth
  • robust balance sheet with low leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.20%
Profit Margin3.44%
P/E Ratio7.0
ROE9.70%
ROA2.11%
Debt/Equity21.45
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥15.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥6.9B
Industry P/E31.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.8
SupportCN¥7.21
ResistanceCN¥8.44
MA 20CN¥7.65
MA 50CN¥7.77
MA 200CN¥8.10
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.93

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥20.49
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.74%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.02
Volatility49.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.