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601111:SSEAir China Limited Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time

CN¥5.81

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥5.81, Air China Limited shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has lost 7.0% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 43.3 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥5.69 and resistance at ¥5.99.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 30.9 times earnings against the sector's 28.0. Analyst price targets sit 5.1% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 9.8% on a -1.2% profit margin.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 16.7%, a beta of 0.25 and a maximum drawdown of 38.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 7.19
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 30.9 versus sector average of 28.0
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 7.19

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 30.9 versus sector average of 28.0
  • Negative profit margin of -1.2%
  • Analyst targets imply +5.1% versus the current price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.80%
Profit Margin-1.25%
P/E Ratio30.9
ROE-8.92%
ROA-0.41%
Debt/Equity376.60
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥37.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥4.9B
Industry P/E28.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.3
SupportCN¥5.69
ResistanceCN¥5.99
MA 20CN¥5.85
MA 50CN¥5.96
MA 200CN¥7.19
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥6.11
Upside/Downside5.09%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.25
Volatility16.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.