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600803:SSEENN Natural Gas Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time

CN¥19.55

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ENN Natural Gas is trading at CNY 19.55, just below its 20‑day SMA of 20.29 and hovering near the technical support level of 19.15, with resistance around 21.5. The RSI of 39 hints at slight oversold conditions, yet the MACD remains bearish and volume is trending down, tempering short‑term upside expectations.
Fundamentally, the stock appears reasonably priced: a trailing P/E of 13.86 is well under the industry average of 21.66, and the dividend yield of 5.13% (payout ~70%) provides strong income appeal. ROE stands at 15.7% and free cash flow is positive, though the DCF‑derived fair value of 6.76 suggests the market may be pricing in growth or strategic premiums.
Risk‑wise, the beta of -0.18 indicates minimal market correlation, while 30‑day volatility of 25.7% is moderate for a utility. Debt‑to‑equity sits at 59.6%, acceptable for the sector, but regulatory and geographic exposure in China introduce medium‑level risks. Overall, the stock balances solid fundamentals with modest technical headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support (19.15)
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • RSI indicating slight oversold condition

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • PE well below industry average
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Strong ROE and positive free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable utility sector fundamentals
  • Medium regulatory and geographic exposure in China
  • Manageable debt level for a regulated gas business

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-7.60%
Profit Margin3.38%
P/E Ratio13.9
ROE15.68%
ROA5.16%
Debt/Equity59.59
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥13.7B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.9B
Industry P/E21.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.0
SupportCN¥19.15
ResistanceCN¥21.50
MA 20CN¥20.29
MA 50CN¥21.13
MA 200CN¥20.16
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.07

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥6.76
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.13%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.18
Volatility25.69%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.