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600623:SSEShanghai Huayi Group Corporation Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

CN¥11.61

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shanghai Huayi Group trades at CNY 11.61, comfortably above its 20‑day (CNY 10.17), 50‑day (CNY 9.29) and 200‑day (CNY 8.36) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bullish bias. The RSI sits at 68, indicating momentum remains robust but not yet overbought, while the MACD line (0.63) sits above its signal (0.47), confirming bullish price pressure. Volume is on an upward trend and the price is holding above the technical support of CNY 9.15 with resistance near CNY 12.26, suggesting short‑term upside potential. However, fundamentals are weak: revenue fell 9.7% year‑over‑year, gross margin is only 6%, and operating profit margin is below 1%, leading to a trailing PE of 38.7× and a modest ROE of 1.8%. The company carries a debt‑to‑equity of roughly 42% and a max drawdown of about 21%, yet it maintains a solid cash buffer (CNY 15.8 bn) and pays a 1.55% dividend with a 60% payout ratio, which appears sustainable. High 30‑day volatility (≈53%) combined with a low beta (~0.21) points to price swings that are largely company‑specific rather than market‑driven.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major moving averages
  • Bullish MACD and rising volume
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Declining revenue and thin margins
  • High trailing PE relative to earnings
  • Sustained dividend payout despite earnings pressure

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental earnings weakness and negative ROA
  • Overvaluation compared to sector peers
  • Potential regulatory headwinds in the chemicals industry

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.70%
Profit Margin1.44%
P/E Ratio38.7
ROE1.83%
ROA-0.26%
Debt/Equity42.01
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.5B
Free Cash FlowCN¥5.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.7
SupportCN¥9.15
ResistanceCN¥12.26
MA 20CN¥10.17
MA 50CN¥9.29
MA 200CN¥8.36
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥38.06
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.55%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.21
Volatility53.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.