6005:TSEMiura Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
CN¥6.18
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Current price is trading just above the 20‑day SMA and well below the 200‑day SMA, indicating short‑term momentum but long‑term weakness. The technical picture shows a bearish trend direction, a modestly bullish MACD signal, and an RSI in the upper‑mid range, while volume is on the rise.
Fundamentally, the company posts solid revenue growth and healthy margins, yet the market valuation is extremely stretched – PE is very high and the DCF fair value is far below the current price. High 30‑day volatility and a low beta suggest pronounced idiosyncratic risk, compounded by concentration in the Chinese consumer‑cyclical travel sector.
Fundamentally, the company posts solid revenue growth and healthy margins, yet the market valuation is extremely stretched – PE is very high and the DCF fair value is far below the current price. High 30‑day volatility and a low beta suggest pronounced idiosyncratic risk, compounded by concentration in the Chinese consumer‑cyclical travel sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price near resistance with bearish trend direction
- overvalued relative to intrinsic estimate
- high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- steady revenue growth and solid operating margins
- still significantly overvalued
- increasing volume indicating market interest
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- persistent overvaluation versus DCF fair value
- exposure to cyclical travel demand and regulatory environment
- high volatility and low beta amplifying idiosyncratic risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.00%
Profit Margin8.59%
P/E Ratio61.8
ROE4.45%
ROA3.69%
Debt/Equity51.43
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥462.8M
Free Cash FlowCN¥160.5M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI60.7
SupportCN¥5.42
ResistanceCN¥6.18
MA 20CN¥5.84
MA 50CN¥5.86
MA 200CN¥6.75
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.61
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥2.45
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility40.77%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.