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600585:SSEAnhui Conch Cement Company Limited Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time

CN¥20.11

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Anhui Conch Cement trades around CNY 20.1, sitting just below its 20‑day SMA (≈20.46) and well under the 50‑day SMA (≈21.87), confirming a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI sits near 38, indicating limited upside momentum, while the MACD shows a modest bullish crossover (line above signal) and a small positive histogram. Support is anchored at CNY 19.26 and resistance near CNY 21.73, leaving the stock in a narrow range with decreasing volume and a 30‑day volatility of roughly 16 %. On the fundamentals side, revenue has contracted 10.5 % YoY, but margins remain respectable (gross ~24 %, profit ~9.6 %) and the company generates solid operating cash flow. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged (debt‑to‑equity >13) yet the firm holds ample cash, resulting in a net‑cash position. Valuation metrics are mixed: a forward PE of ~11.5 and a P/B of 0.55 suggest value, while the DCF fair value (~CNY 13.6) is well below the current price, hinting at possible overvaluation. The dividend yield of 4.8 % with a payout ratio near 64 % adds an attractive income component.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages and weakening momentum
  • High dividend yield providing downside cushion
  • Valuation near fair value with DCF indicating modest downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Anticipated margin improvement as cement prices recover
  • Attractive valuation relative to book and earnings multiples
  • Sustainable dividend supporting total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term infrastructure demand in China sustaining cement consumption
  • Strong net‑cash position offsetting high leverage
  • Stable dividend policy enhancing shareholder yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-10.50%
Profit Margin9.65%
P/E Ratio13.6
ROE3.69%
ROA2.10%
Debt/Equity13.27
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥16.5B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.0
SupportCN¥19.26
ResistanceCN¥21.73
MA 20CN¥20.46
MA 50CN¥21.87
MA 200CN¥23.19
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.32

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥13.58
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.83%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.17
Volatility16.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.