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600519:SSEKweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-29 - not real-time

CN¥1,297.40

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. trades at ¥1,297.40, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. The last 30 days have gained 3.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 48.6 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at ¥1,270.33 up to resistance at ¥1,363.35.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 20.0. Consensus targets land 30.7% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 5.1% on a 47.9% profit margin. The 4.02% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 28.9%, a beta of 0.07 and a maximum drawdown of 24.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.

Top Market Events

Morningstar1monKweichow Moutai: Price Hike Reinforces Market-Oriented Reform; Long-Term Value Remains...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 1370.76
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • Maximum drawdown of 24.8%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 1370.76
  • Analyst targets imply +30.7% versus the current price
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +30.7% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 47.9% is healthy
  • Revenue contracting at -5.1%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.10%
Profit Margin47.86%
P/E Ratio20.0
ROE33.00%
ROA22.83%
Debt/Equity0.09
P/B Ratio6.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥119.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥60.0B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.6
SupportCN¥1,270.33
ResistanceCN¥1,363.35
MA 20CN¥1,315.58
MA 50CN¥1,273.57
MA 200CN¥1,370.76
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.66

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥660.20
Target PriceCN¥1,695.08
Upside/Downside30.65%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.02%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility28.95%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.