600516:SSEFangDa Carbon New Material Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
CN¥6.61
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FangDa Carbon shows a bullish technical backdrop – the 20‑day SMA (6.30) sits above the 50‑day (6.03) and 200‑day (5.44) averages, MACD is positive and the price trades comfortably above the near‑term support of 5.60.
However, fundamentals are markedly weak: a trailing PE of 330.5 versus an industry average of ~34, negative operating margins, operating cash flow deficits and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 8 signal severe overvaluation. The DCF fair value (~1.57 CNY) is far below the current price (6.61 CNY) and the dividend payout exceeds earnings, making the 0.77% yield unsustainable.
However, fundamentals are markedly weak: a trailing PE of 330.5 versus an industry average of ~34, negative operating margins, operating cash flow deficits and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 8 signal severe overvaluation. The DCF fair value (~1.57 CNY) is far below the current price (6.61 CNY) and the dividend payout exceeds earnings, making the 0.77% yield unsustainable.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and SMA alignment
- Price above immediate support level
- Increasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- PE far above industry average
- Negative operating cash flow and margins
- DCF fair value far below market price
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Unsustainable dividend payout ratio >100%
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio indicating leverage risk
- Persistent profitability weakness
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.60%
Profit Margin1.27%
P/E Ratio330.5
ROE-0.05%
ROA-1.03%
Debt/Equity8.11
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-449239936
Free Cash FlowCN¥55.4M
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI56.2
SupportCN¥5.60
ResistanceCN¥7.29
MA 20CN¥6.30
MA 50CN¥6.03
MA 200CN¥5.44
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index74.91
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥1.57
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.77%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility55.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.