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600362:SSEJiangxi Copper Company Limited Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

CN¥50.74

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Jiangxi Copper trades at ¥50.74, sitting just above the computed support of ¥49.60 and below the 20‑day SMA of ¥55.08, while the 14‑day RSI of 38 hints at modest oversold pressure. Technical signals are mixed: the MACD remains in a bearish configuration and the histogram is negative, yet the trend direction is marked neutral and volume is stable. Price volatility is elevated at 67% over the past 30 days, though the computed beta of 0.25 suggests limited systematic market risk.
Fundamentally, the company posted ¥524.8 bn of revenue with a solid 14% YoY growth, but margins are thin (gross 3.3%, operating 1.8%). Debt‑to‑equity stands at 105%, counterbalanced by strong cash reserves and a dividend yield of 2.17% with a modest 30% payout ratio. The DCF‑derived fair value of ¥30.26 indicates the stock is currently overvalued relative to intrinsic estimates, while copper’s long‑term demand outlook and a sustainable dividend provide a defensive cushion.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with limited upside
  • Bearish MACD and negative histogram
  • Stable trading volume reducing immediate liquidity concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth of 14% and improving cash flow
  • Sustainable dividend yield and low payout ratio
  • Copper demand fundamentals supporting earnings expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Current price exceeds DCF fair value, limiting upside
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio poses balance‑sheet risk
  • Long‑term commodity cycle and dividend stability provide defensive attributes

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.10%
Profit Margin1.52%
P/E Ratio22.0
ROE9.50%
ROA3.03%
Debt/Equity105.06
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥8.4B
Free Cash FlowCN¥5.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.9
SupportCN¥49.60
ResistanceCN¥60.30
MA 20CN¥55.08
MA 50CN¥56.49
MA 200CN¥36.74
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥30.26
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.25
Volatility67.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.