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600111:SSEChina Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time

CN¥47.52

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

China Northern Rare Earth is trading below its 20‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with a neutral trend and a bearish MACD histogram, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Volume is decreasing and volatility remains elevated, while the price sits near a defined support level, indicating potential downside risk if sentiment turns negative.
Fundamentally, the company shows strong revenue growth but thin margins, a very high price‑to‑earnings multiple, and a price‑to‑book ratio well above peers. Debt levels are high relative to equity and free cash flow is negative, raising concerns about cash generation despite a modest dividend payout. The sector faces medium to high regulatory scrutiny in China, and the rare‑earth market is subject to policy‑driven supply dynamics.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term averages
  • Proximity to technical support
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth but thin profitability
  • Elevated valuation multiples relative to earnings
  • High debt load and negative free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic importance of rare‑earth materials for clean‑energy technologies
  • Potential for improved cash generation as market demand expands
  • Long‑term secular tailwinds outweigh current valuation concerns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.70%
Profit Margin6.07%
P/E Ratio62.5
ROE10.96%
ROA5.19%
Debt/Equity29.95
P/B Ratio6.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥433.0M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-1013850112

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.1
SupportCN¥46.26
ResistanceCN¥55.88
MA 20CN¥49.76
MA 50CN¥50.40
MA 200CN¥49.68
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥1.81
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.27%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility59.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.