600026:SSECOSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time
CN¥19.30
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock trades at CNY 19.3, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of 21.86 and 50‑day SMA of 22.75, yet still above the 200‑day SMA of 15.77, suggesting a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. Momentum indicators are mixed – the RSI sits at 32.8 (oversold) while the MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram, and trading volume is on a declining trend, reinforcing a neutral‑to‑cautious short‑term outlook.
Fundamentally, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation delivers robust 27% revenue growth, high operating margins (38.5%), and a solid ROE of 13%, but carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 67% and negative free cash flow. The DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 43.2 and a forward PE of 10.6 contrast sharply with the current PE of 23.3, indicating the stock is significantly undervalued. A 2.17% dividend yield with a modest 25% payout ratio adds income appeal, while the low beta (0.38) and high 30‑day volatility (≈39%) point to limited market sensitivity but elevated price swings.
Fundamentally, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation delivers robust 27% revenue growth, high operating margins (38.5%), and a solid ROE of 13%, but carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 67% and negative free cash flow. The DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 43.2 and a forward PE of 10.6 contrast sharply with the current PE of 23.3, indicating the stock is significantly undervalued. A 2.17% dividend yield with a modest 25% payout ratio adds income appeal, while the low beta (0.38) and high 30‑day volatility (≈39%) point to limited market sensitivity but elevated price swings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at CNY 19.3
- Oversold RSI but bearish MACD
- Decreasing volume and neutral trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value far above market price
- Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
- Attractive forward PE of 10.6 and dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term undervaluation with upside potential >100%
- Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
- Strategic fleet expansion and solid cash‑flow generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth26.90%
Profit Margin21.63%
P/E Ratio23.3
ROE12.95%
ROA4.86%
Debt/Equity67.05
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥10.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-1327978624
Industry P/E20.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI32.8
SupportCN¥19.30
ResistanceCN¥23.99
MA 20CN¥21.86
MA 50CN¥22.75
MA 200CN¥15.77
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.32
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥43.17
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.37
Volatility39.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.