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600026:SSECOSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time

CN¥19.30

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock trades at CNY 19.3, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of 21.86 and 50‑day SMA of 22.75, yet still above the 200‑day SMA of 15.77, suggesting a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. Momentum indicators are mixed – the RSI sits at 32.8 (oversold) while the MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram, and trading volume is on a declining trend, reinforcing a neutral‑to‑cautious short‑term outlook.
Fundamentally, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation delivers robust 27% revenue growth, high operating margins (38.5%), and a solid ROE of 13%, but carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 67% and negative free cash flow. The DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 43.2 and a forward PE of 10.6 contrast sharply with the current PE of 23.3, indicating the stock is significantly undervalued. A 2.17% dividend yield with a modest 25% payout ratio adds income appeal, while the low beta (0.38) and high 30‑day volatility (≈39%) point to limited market sensitivity but elevated price swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support at CNY 19.3
  • Oversold RSI but bearish MACD
  • Decreasing volume and neutral trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value far above market price
  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Attractive forward PE of 10.6 and dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term undervaluation with upside potential >100%
  • Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
  • Strategic fleet expansion and solid cash‑flow generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth26.90%
Profit Margin21.63%
P/E Ratio23.3
ROE12.95%
ROA4.86%
Debt/Equity67.05
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥10.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-1327978624
Industry P/E20.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.8
SupportCN¥19.30
ResistanceCN¥23.99
MA 20CN¥21.86
MA 50CN¥22.75
MA 200CN¥15.77
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.32

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥43.17
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.37
Volatility39.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.