600000:SSEShanghai Pudong Development Bank Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-15 - not real-time
CN¥9.31
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shanghai Pudong Development Bank trades at a PE of 6.56, far below the industry average of 17.9, and its price‑to‑book sits at just 0.37, indicating a deep valuation gap. The stock also offers a robust dividend yield of 4.59% with a modest payout ratio of 29%, supported by ample cash reserves and negligible net debt. Technically, the price is hovering just above the 20‑day SMA (8.96) and the 50‑day SMA (9.12) but remains well under the 200‑day SMA (10.61), and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting short‑term bullish momentum despite an overall bearish trend. Volatility is elevated at 22.7% (30‑day) while beta is very low (0.14), pointing to limited systematic risk but notable price swings.
Given the substantial valuation discount, sustainable dividend profile, and stable liquidity, the stock appears attractive for investors willing to tolerate moderate price volatility. The DCF‑derived fair value of ≈CNY 194 versus the current price of CNY 9.31 underscores the upside potential, though such a gap also reflects model sensitivity and market perception risks.
Given the substantial valuation discount, sustainable dividend profile, and stable liquidity, the stock appears attractive for investors willing to tolerate moderate price volatility. The DCF‑derived fair value of ≈CNY 194 versus the current price of CNY 9.31 underscores the upside potential, though such a gap also reflects model sensitivity and market perception risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
- Strong dividend yield providing cash return
- Price near immediate support level limiting downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount relative to peers
- Sustainable dividend supporting total return
- Stable cash flow and negligible net debt enhancing financial resilience
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term upside implied by DCF fair value
- Growth potential in China's regional banking sector
- Low beta and strong capital base reducing systemic risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.60%
Profit Margin46.12%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE6.36%
ROA0.51%
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥669.6B
Industry P/E17.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.6
SupportCN¥8.49
ResistanceCN¥9.55
MA 20CN¥8.96
MA 50CN¥9.12
MA 200CN¥10.61
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.45
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥194.24
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.59%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.14
Volatility22.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.