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600000:SSEShanghai Pudong Development Bank Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-15 - not real-time

CN¥9.31

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shanghai Pudong Development Bank trades at a PE of 6.56, far below the industry average of 17.9, and its price‑to‑book sits at just 0.37, indicating a deep valuation gap. The stock also offers a robust dividend yield of 4.59% with a modest payout ratio of 29%, supported by ample cash reserves and negligible net debt. Technically, the price is hovering just above the 20‑day SMA (8.96) and the 50‑day SMA (9.12) but remains well under the 200‑day SMA (10.61), and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting short‑term bullish momentum despite an overall bearish trend. Volatility is elevated at 22.7% (30‑day) while beta is very low (0.14), pointing to limited systematic risk but notable price swings.
Given the substantial valuation discount, sustainable dividend profile, and stable liquidity, the stock appears attractive for investors willing to tolerate moderate price volatility. The DCF‑derived fair value of ≈CNY 194 versus the current price of CNY 9.31 underscores the upside potential, though such a gap also reflects model sensitivity and market perception risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Positive MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
  • Strong dividend yield providing cash return
  • Price near immediate support level limiting downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount relative to peers
  • Sustainable dividend supporting total return
  • Stable cash flow and negligible net debt enhancing financial resilience

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term upside implied by DCF fair value
  • Growth potential in China's regional banking sector
  • Low beta and strong capital base reducing systemic risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.60%
Profit Margin46.12%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE6.36%
ROA0.51%
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥669.6B
Industry P/E17.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI59.6
SupportCN¥8.49
ResistanceCN¥9.55
MA 20CN¥8.96
MA 50CN¥9.12
MA 200CN¥10.61
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.45

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥194.24
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.59%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility22.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.