5947:TSERinnai Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
¥3,823.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Rinnai Corporation (5947.T) is trading at ¥3,823, just above the calculated support of ¥3,728 and well below its 52‑week high, indicating limited upside pressure in the near term. The RSI of 36 suggests the stock is mildly oversold, while the MACD histogram remains negative, pointing to a bearish momentum that has not yet translated into a decisive price decline. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at roughly 25%, yet the beta of 0.23 signals that price swings are modest relative to the broader market, providing a defensive cushion.
Fundamentally, the company exhibits a PE of 16 and a price‑to‑book of 1.29, aligning with a fair valuation profile. Strong cash reserves, zero debt, and a dividend yield of 2.62% with a payout ratio under 40% underscore dividend sustainability. Analyst consensus is a “buy” with a median target price around ¥4,600, implying an upside potential of over 20%. The combination of stable earnings margins, solid balance sheet, and attractive dividend makes the stock appealing for medium‑ to long‑term investors, while short‑term traders may adopt a cautious hold stance pending clearer technical confirmation.
Fundamentally, the company exhibits a PE of 16 and a price‑to‑book of 1.29, aligning with a fair valuation profile. Strong cash reserves, zero debt, and a dividend yield of 2.62% with a payout ratio under 40% underscore dividend sustainability. Analyst consensus is a “buy” with a median target price around ¥4,600, implying an upside potential of over 20%. The combination of stable earnings margins, solid balance sheet, and attractive dividend makes the stock appealing for medium‑ to long‑term investors, while short‑term traders may adopt a cautious hold stance pending clearer technical confirmation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above support level
- RSI indicating mild oversold condition
- Bearish MACD momentum still unresolved
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fair valuation with PE ~16 and PB ~1.3
- Sustainable dividend yield of 2.62% and low payout ratio
- Upside potential of >20% based on analyst targets
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Zero debt and strong cash position
- Consistent profitability and stable margins
- Defensive beta and dividend reliability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin7.35%
P/E Ratio16.1
ROE9.24%
ROA5.11%
P/B Ratio1.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.2
Support¥3,728.00
Resistance¥4,226.00
MA 20¥3,976.85
MA 50¥4,047.12
MA 200¥3,786.86
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target Price¥4,688.75
Upside/Downside22.65%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.62%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.23
Volatility24.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.