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5929:TSESanwa Holdings Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

¥3,299.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical indicators show the stock trading well below its 20‑day (¥3,507), 50‑day (¥3,602) and 200‑day (¥4,072) moving averages, with a bearish MACD crossover and a RSI of 37 that hints at near‑oversold conditions. Volume is increasing and volatility is elevated at ~32% over the past 30 days, while the price sits just above the identified support level of ¥3,258 and far below the resistance at ¥3,728.
Fundamental strengths include a low trailing PE of 11.7 versus an industry average of 29.7, solid gross (33%) and operating (15%) margins, a healthy ROE of 18%, and a very low debt‑to‑equity ratio (16%). The company generates strong cash flow, holds ample cash relative to debt, and offers an attractive dividend yield of 4% with a payout ratio under 50%, suggesting sustainability. However, the DCF‑derived fair value (~¥2,468) is well below the current price, indicating a premium that may limit upside despite analyst targets implying ~30% upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Proximity to support level with rising volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price targets indicating ~30% upside
  • Low PE relative to industry peers
  • Strong cash position and low leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend yield near 4%
  • Consistent profitability and ROE
  • Global diversification reducing single‑market exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.80%
Profit Margin9.05%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE17.82%
ROA9.13%
Debt/Equity16.26
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow¥61.4B
Free Cash Flow¥30.6B
Industry P/E29.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.0
Support¥3,258.00
Resistance¥3,728.00
MA 20¥3,507.65
MA 50¥3,602.22
MA 200¥4,072.16
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.52

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,468.31
Target Price¥4,571.43
Upside/Downside38.57%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.99%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.36
Volatility31.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.