5929:TSESanwa Holdings Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
¥3,299.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical indicators show the stock trading well below its 20‑day (¥3,507), 50‑day (¥3,602) and 200‑day (¥4,072) moving averages, with a bearish MACD crossover and a RSI of 37 that hints at near‑oversold conditions. Volume is increasing and volatility is elevated at ~32% over the past 30 days, while the price sits just above the identified support level of ¥3,258 and far below the resistance at ¥3,728.
Fundamental strengths include a low trailing PE of 11.7 versus an industry average of 29.7, solid gross (33%) and operating (15%) margins, a healthy ROE of 18%, and a very low debt‑to‑equity ratio (16%). The company generates strong cash flow, holds ample cash relative to debt, and offers an attractive dividend yield of 4% with a payout ratio under 50%, suggesting sustainability. However, the DCF‑derived fair value (~¥2,468) is well below the current price, indicating a premium that may limit upside despite analyst targets implying ~30% upside.
Fundamental strengths include a low trailing PE of 11.7 versus an industry average of 29.7, solid gross (33%) and operating (15%) margins, a healthy ROE of 18%, and a very low debt‑to‑equity ratio (16%). The company generates strong cash flow, holds ample cash relative to debt, and offers an attractive dividend yield of 4% with a payout ratio under 50%, suggesting sustainability. However, the DCF‑derived fair value (~¥2,468) is well below the current price, indicating a premium that may limit upside despite analyst targets implying ~30% upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Proximity to support level with rising volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst price targets indicating ~30% upside
- Low PE relative to industry peers
- Strong cash position and low leverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend yield near 4%
- Consistent profitability and ROE
- Global diversification reducing single‑market exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.80%
Profit Margin9.05%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE17.82%
ROA9.13%
Debt/Equity16.26
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow¥61.4B
Free Cash Flow¥30.6B
Industry P/E29.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.0
Support¥3,258.00
Resistance¥3,728.00
MA 20¥3,507.65
MA 50¥3,602.22
MA 200¥4,072.16
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.52
Valuation
Fair Value¥2,468.31
Target Price¥4,571.43
Upside/Downside38.57%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.99%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.36
Volatility31.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.