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5880:TWSETaiwan Cooperative Financial Holding Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

CN¥1.51

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at 1.512 CNY, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (1.529) and 50‑day SMA (1.513), indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while the 200‑day SMA (1.268) remains well below, confirming a longer‑term uptrend. RSI at 48.4 suggests the price is neither overbought nor oversold, providing room for further upside. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD line sits below the signal line, a bearish signal that could trigger a near‑term pullback toward the identified support at 1.434 CNY. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the idea that market participants are still accumulating. Volatility is elevated at roughly 34% over the past 30 days, but the beta of only 0.10 signals very low correlation with broader market moves, tempering systematic risk. The recent “Extreme Greed” reading (75.25) reflects strong market optimism, yet the max drawdown of about -19% reminds investors of the downside risk inherent in a high‑growth, technology‑focused Chinese ETF.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential pullback
  • RSI near neutral range offering limited upside
  • High 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs confirming bullish momentum
  • Increasing volume supporting accumulation
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide risk exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to China’s Science and Technology Innovation Board, a growth engine
  • Support level intact at 1.434 CNY providing downside cushion
  • Extreme greed sentiment indicating strong investor confidence

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.4
SupportCN¥1.43
ResistanceCN¥1.59
MA 20CN¥1.53
MA 50CN¥1.51
MA 200CN¥1.27
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.25

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility33.67%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.