5871:TWSEChailease Holding Co. Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time
NT$123.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Chailease is trading at TWD 123, touching its 20‑day resistance of 123 while comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 112.6. The 14‑day RSI of 68 indicates the stock is in the upper‑range but not yet in overbought territory. A bullish MACD histogram (+1.34) and a widening gap between the MACD line (2.24) and its signal (0.90) suggest upward momentum. Volume has been increasing, supporting the price move. However, 30‑day volatility sits at roughly 31 %, and the computed beta is essentially flat (‑0.03), implying price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than market moves. On the valuation side, the trailing P/E of 10.9 is well below the industry average of 16.5, and the P/B of 1.11 sits just above book value, flagging the stock as undervalued. The dividend yield of 5.1 % with a payout ratio near 54 % appears sustainable given the massive cash pile (≈ TWD 45 bn) despite a leverage ratio of 330 % equity.
Analysts’ consensus is a “Buy” with a mean target of TWD 129, implying ~5 % upside from today. The company’s operating margin of 50 % and ROE of 10.5 % demonstrate strong profitability. Geographic exposure across Taiwan, Mainland China, and ASEAN adds diversification but also introduces moderate regulatory and currency risk. The high debt load is a caution flag, yet the strong cash generation and dividend track record mitigate immediate concerns. Overall, the stock presents a compelling blend of value and income, with a short‑term bias toward holding near resistance and a medium‑to‑long‑term case for buying.
Analysts’ consensus is a “Buy” with a mean target of TWD 129, implying ~5 % upside from today. The company’s operating margin of 50 % and ROE of 10.5 % demonstrate strong profitability. Geographic exposure across Taiwan, Mainland China, and ASEAN adds diversification but also introduces moderate regulatory and currency risk. The high debt load is a caution flag, yet the strong cash generation and dividend track record mitigate immediate concerns. Overall, the stock presents a compelling blend of value and income, with a short‑term bias toward holding near resistance and a medium‑to‑long‑term case for buying.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD with widening histogram
- RSI approaching overbought levels
- Price at technical resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued P/E relative to industry
- Attractive 5.1% dividend yield
- Analyst target price indicating upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong operating margins and ROE
- Diversified credit services across regions
- Sustainable dividend supported by large cash reserves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin33.73%
P/E Ratio10.9
ROE10.56%
ROA2.13%
Debt/Equity330.47
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowNT$16.2B
Industry P/E16.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI68.4
SupportNT$106.00
ResistanceNT$123.00
MA 20NT$112.63
MA 50NT$113.30
MA 200NT$108.80
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.75
Valuation
Target PriceNT$129.10
Upside/Downside4.96%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.10%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.03
Volatility31.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.