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5844:TSEKyoto Financial Group,Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

¥4,462.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price sits at ¥4,462, just below the 20‑day SMA (¥4,470.7) and modestly above the 50‑day SMA, indicating near‑term consolidation. The RSI of 50.5 signals neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative (-3.4) with a bearish signal, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. Volume remains stable.
Valuation appears attractive: a trailing PE of 13.2 versus the industry average of 16.8 points to an undervalued stance, and a dividend yield of 2.47% with a modest 23.6% payout ratio enhances income appeal. Nonetheless, operating cash flow is strongly negative and free cash flow is zero, raising sustainability concerns despite solid operating margins (42%). Debt is high but offset by sizable cash reserves, reflected in a low debt‑to‑equity metric.
Volatility is elevated at ~29% over 30 days, yet a beta of 0.48 indicates limited market‑wide sensitivity. Overall risk is moderate: sector and regulatory risks are medium, liquidity risk is low, and the “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 89.9) adds bullish bias, though technical indicators caution against aggressive short‑term bets.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD crossover
  • Price hovering just below 20‑day SMA
  • Stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued PE relative to industry
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Bullish overall trend despite short‑term technical weakness

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend and sector stability
  • Cash‑flow weakness and earnings decline risk
  • Low beta and moderate volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth563.20%
Profit Margin29.90%
P/E Ratio13.2
ROE8.72%
ROA0.81%
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥-1122564964352
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.5
Support¥4,193.00
Resistance¥4,755.00
MA 20¥4,470.70
MA 50¥4,402.92
MA 200¥3,674.54
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price¥4,512.50
Upside/Downside1.13%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.48
Volatility29.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.