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5838:TSERakuten Bank, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time

¥4,899.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Rakuten Bank’s share price is trading well beneath its short‑term moving averages, signaling a bearish price bias. The RSI sits in the lower half of its range, suggesting oversold conditions that could attract contrarian buyers. MACD shows a bearish divergence, reinforcing the downside momentum. Volume has been picking up, yet the stock remains close to a key support zone, implying limited downside cushion. Volatility remains elevated, which could amplify price swings in the near term.
On the fundamentals side, revenue is expanding at a robust pace and operating margins are exceptionally strong, highlighting solid profitability. The price‑earnings multiple is comfortably below the sector average, pointing to an undervalued valuation. The balance sheet is cash‑rich with a modest debt profile, providing financial resilience. The company does not pay a dividend, so income‑focused investors should not count on yield. Overall, the confluence of attractive valuation and strong earnings growth suggests upside potential if technical pressure eases.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • bearish technical indicators
  • proximity to support level
  • high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • strong revenue growth
  • undervalued relative to peers
  • robust operating margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • cash‑rich balance sheet
  • sustainable profitability
  • potential for valuation re‑rating

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.70%
Profit Margin37.21%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE20.29%
ROA0.46%
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow¥-1216589987840
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.9
Support¥4,342.00
Resistance¥7,026.00
MA 20¥5,596.95
MA 50¥6,012.36
MA 200¥7,154.97
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75

Valuation

Target Price¥8,000.00
Upside/Downside63.30%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.90
Volatility79.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.