5831:TSEShizuoka Financial Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time
¥2,973.50
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shizuoka Financial Group is trading above its 20‑day (¥2,918), 50‑day (¥2,834) and 200‑day (¥2,460) moving averages, with a bullish MACD histogram (+¥5) and an RSI of 59 indicating momentum is still on the upside. Volume is increasing and the stock sits comfortably above the identified support at ¥2,720, while the next resistance around ¥3,098 offers roughly a 6‑7% upside potential, reflected in the current Extreme Greed market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 84.5).
Fundamentally, the bank posted a 30% revenue surge and maintains a healthy operating margin of 30%, though cash flow is negative and debt levels are high. The PE of 17.7 is modestly above the industry average of 16.5, but the 3.3% dividend yield with a 48% payout ratio suggests earnings are sufficient to sustain payouts. Low beta (≈0.01–0.34) and a market cap of ¥1.58 trillion provide a solid liquidity cushion, while volatility at 27% and a max drawdown of 20% signal moderate price swings. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with a blend of growth and income attributes.
Fundamentally, the bank posted a 30% revenue surge and maintains a healthy operating margin of 30%, though cash flow is negative and debt levels are high. The PE of 17.7 is modestly above the industry average of 16.5, but the 3.3% dividend yield with a 48% payout ratio suggests earnings are sufficient to sustain payouts. Low beta (≈0.01–0.34) and a market cap of ¥1.58 trillion provide a solid liquidity cushion, while volatility at 27% and a max drawdown of 20% signal moderate price swings. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with a blend of growth and income attributes.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical setup (price above SMAs, MACD bullish)
- Increasing volume supporting momentum
- Limited upside before hitting near‑term resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and solid operating margins
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Fair valuation relative to peers and upside potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Stable regulatory environment for regional banks in Japan
- Consistent dividend income and moderate valuation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth30.90%
Profit Margin26.23%
P/E Ratio17.7
ROE7.54%
ROA0.57%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥-272714006528
Industry P/E16.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.5
Support¥2,720.50
Resistance¥3,098.00
MA 20¥2,918.03
MA 50¥2,833.55
MA 200¥2,459.76
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.48
Valuation
Target Price¥3,172.86
Upside/Downside6.70%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.30%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.01
Volatility27.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.