5803:TSEFujikura Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
¥5,140.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fujikura Ltd. is trading well below its 20‑day SMA and 50‑day SMA, signaling short‑term weakness. The 200‑day SMA remains under the current price, indicating a longer‑term bullish backdrop. A bearish MACD crossover and a neutral RSI around the mid‑40s reinforce the near‑term downside pressure. Volume has been on an upward trend, suggesting that the recent price move is supported by market participation. The Fear & Greed Index reads Extreme Greed, reflecting heightened market optimism that may be pricing in upside beyond fundamentals.
On the fundamentals side, revenue is expanding at a robust 22% revenue growth rate and profit margins sit comfortably in the low‑teens. Return on equity exceeds 30% ROE, underscoring efficient capital deployment. The company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, yet cash balances more than double total debt, providing a solid net‑cash cushion. Forward earnings are priced at a low multiple relative to the current trailing P/E, and analysts’ consensus targets imply roughly a 13% upside. The dividend yield is modest but the payout ratio is below 40%, making the dividend stream sustainable. Recent governance reforms, including a new restricted‑stock compensation plan, aim to align management incentives with shareholder value. Overall, the blend of strong growth fundamentals and a modest upside potential outweighs the short‑term technical headwinds.
On the fundamentals side, revenue is expanding at a robust 22% revenue growth rate and profit margins sit comfortably in the low‑teens. Return on equity exceeds 30% ROE, underscoring efficient capital deployment. The company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, yet cash balances more than double total debt, providing a solid net‑cash cushion. Forward earnings are priced at a low multiple relative to the current trailing P/E, and analysts’ consensus targets imply roughly a 13% upside. The dividend yield is modest but the payout ratio is below 40%, making the dividend stream sustainable. Recent governance reforms, including a new restricted‑stock compensation plan, aim to align management incentives with shareholder value. Overall, the blend of strong growth fundamentals and a modest upside potential outweighs the short‑term technical headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below 20‑day SMA
- bearish MACD divergence
- elevated volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 22% revenue growth
- forward P/E near 17
- analyst upside of 13%
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- high ROE over 30%
- strong cash position net of debt
- sustainable dividend payout
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth22.00%
Profit Margin13.29%
P/E Ratio54.2
ROE31.51%
ROA13.11%
Debt/Equity17.13
P/B Ratio15.2
Op. Cash Flow¥132.9B
Free Cash Flow¥43.1B
Industry P/E30.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.9
Support¥4,156.00
Resistance¥7,933.00
MA 20¥5,901.10
MA 50¥5,291.49
MA 200¥3,489.04
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.16
Valuation
Fair Value¥877.34
Target Price¥5,808.86
Upside/Downside13.01%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.71%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.22
Volatility126.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.