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5631:TSEJapan Steel Works, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-10 - not real-time

¥7,638.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. is priced at ¥7,638.00 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 1.1%. RSI sits at 48.7, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at ¥6,989.00 up to resistance at ¥8,126.00.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 29.2 times earnings in line with a sector average of 30.7. Analyst price targets sit 51.5% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 13.9% on a 7.8% profit margin. The 1.19% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 7/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 41.6%, a beta of 0.88 and a maximum drawdown of 31.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Seeking Alpha2monThe Japan Steel Works, Ltd.Japan Steel Works TSE:5631 edged up around 3% today, even after a rough past month, so investors are weighing whether...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 8779.22
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 29.2 versus sector average of 30.7
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 8779.22

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 29.2 versus sector average of 30.7
  • Analyst targets imply +51.5% versus the current price
  • Revenue contracting at -13.9%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-13.90%
Profit Margin7.83%
P/E Ratio29.2
ROE10.23%
ROA3.95%
Debt/Equity39.92
P/B Ratio2.6
Industry P/E30.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.7
Support¥6,989.00
Resistance¥8,126.00
MA 20¥7,606.85
MA 50¥7,704.42
MA 200¥8,779.22
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.82

Valuation

Target Price¥11,570.00
Upside/Downside51.48%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.19%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.88
Volatility41.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.