5483:TPEXSino-American Silicon Products Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
NT$181.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sino‑American Silicon Products is trading well above its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, with the price comfortably north of the 20‑day (≈161) and 50‑day (≈146) SMAs, and still below the 200‑day SMA (≈121) trend line, underscoring a sustained bullish bias. Technical momentum is reinforced by a bullish MACD crossover (MACD line above signal) and an RSI in the low‑60s, indicating solid buying pressure without being overbought. Volatility remains elevated at over 80% on a 30‑day basis, while beta near 0.9 suggests market‑aligned price swings; the Fear & Greed Index signals “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong investor optimism.
Fundamentally, the stock’s trailing PE of ~27 is well under the industry average of ~38, and a forward PE near 10 points to significant earnings upside. The dividend yield of ~1.9% is attractive, but a payout ratio approaching 97% raises questions about sustainability. Leverage is notable, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 60%, and free cash flow is modest relative to earnings. While the DCF model implies a stark undervaluation, the market price sits near the 52‑week high, limiting upside to roughly 6% based on the computed upside/downside metric.
Fundamentally, the stock’s trailing PE of ~27 is well under the industry average of ~38, and a forward PE near 10 points to significant earnings upside. The dividend yield of ~1.9% is attractive, but a payout ratio approaching 97% raises questions about sustainability. Leverage is notable, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 60%, and free cash flow is modest relative to earnings. While the DCF model implies a stark undervaluation, the market price sits near the 52‑week high, limiting upside to roughly 6% based on the computed upside/downside metric.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (MACD, RSI, price above SMAs)
- High short‑term volatility
- Elevated dividend payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- PE advantage versus industry peers
- Forward earnings growth implied by low forward PE
- Stable trading volume and solid liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic position in semiconductor and renewable energy segments
- Potential upside from earnings expansion
- Diversified geographic footprint mitigating single‑market risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin5.77%
P/E Ratio27.1
ROE8.67%
ROA2.35%
Debt/Equity64.49
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash FlowNT$15.9B
Free Cash FlowNT$1.6B
Industry P/E38.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.8
SupportNT$137.50
ResistanceNT$189.00
MA 20NT$161.43
MA 50NT$146.28
MA 200NT$121.06
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$5.81
Target PriceNT$202.00
Upside/Downside11.60%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.93%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.93
Volatility82.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.