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5411:TSEJFE Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

¥1,919.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

JFE Holdings is trading at ¥1,919.5, well below its 20‑day (¥2,111) and 50‑day (¥2,117) SMAs, while the 14‑day RSI sits at 33 indicating oversold conditions. Technical signals are mixed: a bearish MACD histogram and price below short‑term averages suggest downside pressure, yet rising volume and a modest 9.3% upside potential hint at a possible short‑term bounce.
Fundamentally, the company faces challenges: revenue fell 6.3% YoY, Q9 profit plunged 39% on a weak steel market, and margins are thin (gross 11%, operating 3%). Heavy leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~74) and a low ROE (2.2%) raise solvency concerns, while the dividend yield of 4.17% is attractive but backed by a high payout ratio (~78%). However, a forward P/E of 6 and a P/B of 0.48 suggest the stock is priced cheaply relative to earnings and book value, offering a value‑oriented entry point if the steel cycle improves.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Bearish MACD and recent profit decline
  • Oversold RSI suggesting limited downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E of 6 indicating cheap earnings
  • High dividend yield despite earnings pressure
  • Potential recovery in global steel demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued book value (P/B 0.48)
  • Diversified engineering and recycling businesses
  • Sustained dividend income if earnings stabilize

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.30%
Profit Margin1.15%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE2.19%
ROA0.65%
Debt/Equity74.09
P/B Ratio0.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI33.3
Support¥1,898.50
Resistance¥2,355.50
MA 20¥2,111.05
MA 50¥2,117.43
MA 200¥1,879.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥2,098.00
Upside/Downside9.30%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.40
Volatility35.41%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.