5411:TSEJFE Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
¥1,919.50
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
JFE Holdings is trading at ¥1,919.5, well below its 20‑day (¥2,111) and 50‑day (¥2,117) SMAs, while the 14‑day RSI sits at 33 indicating oversold conditions. Technical signals are mixed: a bearish MACD histogram and price below short‑term averages suggest downside pressure, yet rising volume and a modest 9.3% upside potential hint at a possible short‑term bounce.
Fundamentally, the company faces challenges: revenue fell 6.3% YoY, Q9 profit plunged 39% on a weak steel market, and margins are thin (gross 11%, operating 3%). Heavy leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~74) and a low ROE (2.2%) raise solvency concerns, while the dividend yield of 4.17% is attractive but backed by a high payout ratio (~78%). However, a forward P/E of 6 and a P/B of 0.48 suggest the stock is priced cheaply relative to earnings and book value, offering a value‑oriented entry point if the steel cycle improves.
Fundamentally, the company faces challenges: revenue fell 6.3% YoY, Q9 profit plunged 39% on a weak steel market, and margins are thin (gross 11%, operating 3%). Heavy leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~74) and a low ROE (2.2%) raise solvency concerns, while the dividend yield of 4.17% is attractive but backed by a high payout ratio (~78%). However, a forward P/E of 6 and a P/B of 0.48 suggest the stock is priced cheaply relative to earnings and book value, offering a value‑oriented entry point if the steel cycle improves.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
- Bearish MACD and recent profit decline
- Oversold RSI suggesting limited downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E of 6 indicating cheap earnings
- High dividend yield despite earnings pressure
- Potential recovery in global steel demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued book value (P/B 0.48)
- Diversified engineering and recycling businesses
- Sustained dividend income if earnings stabilize
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-6.30%
Profit Margin1.15%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE2.19%
ROA0.65%
Debt/Equity74.09
P/B Ratio0.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI33.3
Support¥1,898.50
Resistance¥2,355.50
MA 20¥2,111.05
MA 50¥2,117.43
MA 200¥1,879.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target Price¥2,098.00
Upside/Downside9.30%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.40
Volatility35.41%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.