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5274:TPEXASPEED Technology, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

NT$10,055.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ASPEED Technology’s share price is comfortably above its short‑term, medium‑term and long‑term moving averages, supporting a bullish market direction. The relative strength index sits in a neutral‑to‑positive zone, while the MACD has turned bearish, creating a mixed technical picture. Strong price support sits well above recent lows and the next resistance aligns with recent highs, but the stock is experiencing elevated volatility despite a modest beta, indicating price swings could be pronounced in the near term.
Fundamentally, the company delivers impressive top‑line growth and exceptionally high profitability margins, backed by a massive cash reserve and minimal debt. Return on equity is outstanding, and the dividend, though modest in yield, is covered comfortably by earnings and cash flow, suggesting sustainability. However, the price‑to‑earnings multiple is dramatically above the industry average and far exceeds the discounted cash‑flow fair value estimate, implying the market is pricing in a large premium with limited upside potential.
Given the overvalued pricing, short‑term traders should exercise caution, while medium‑term investors may choose to hold pending a price correction. Long‑term investors could view the stock as a buy‑the‑dip opportunity, banking on the company’s strong cash position, sustainable dividend and leadership in the server‑IC niche to eventually justify a higher valuation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price above all major moving averages
  • bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term downside pressure
  • elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • robust revenue growth and high profitability margins
  • significant valuation premium relative to peers
  • strong cash generation and low leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • sustainable dividend supported by solid earnings and cash flow
  • strategic position in the server and data‑center semiconductor market
  • potential for price correction toward intrinsic value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.10%
Profit Margin43.23%
P/E Ratio103.5
ROE59.47%
ROA32.26%
Debt/Equity4.15
P/B Ratio50.2
Op. Cash FlowNT$4.5B
Free Cash FlowNT$3.3B
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.8
SupportNT$8,655.00
ResistanceNT$10,275.00
MA 20NT$9,468.75
MA 50NT$8,515.40
MA 200NT$5,969.53
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$2,513.57
Target PriceNT$11,118.75
Upside/Downside10.58%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.55%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.83
Volatility64.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.