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5233:TSETaiheiyo Cement Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

¥3,956.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Taiheiyo Cement is trading with a high trailing price‑to‑earnings ratio while its forward price‑to‑earnings appears low, suggesting a valuation disconnect that could favor upside. Technical signals are supportive, with a bullish MACD histogram, RSI in neutral territory, and price holding above short‑term moving averages, complemented by an increasing volume trend. The stock benefits from a strong dividend yield, but the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. Risk metrics show low market sensitivity given the very low beta, yet recent volatility has been elevated, reflecting the cyclical nature of the building materials sector. The balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity level, which could constrain flexibility, but operating cash flow remains robust. Analyst price targets imply modest upside, aligning with the growth narrative driven by anticipated earnings acceleration.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term averages
  • Increasing trading volume supporting momentum
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings expectations driving a low forward PE
  • Analyst price targets indicating upside potential
  • Strong operating cash flow offsetting debt concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting financial flexibility
  • Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
  • Sector cyclicality and regulatory exposure to environmental rules

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.90%
Profit Margin2.83%
P/E Ratio52.4
ROE3.87%
ROA3.21%
Debt/Equity57.21
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow¥114.2B
Free Cash Flow¥2.2B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.4
Support¥3,486.00
Resistance¥4,276.00
MA 20¥3,738.70
MA 50¥3,691.38
MA 200¥3,929.27
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Valuation

Target Price¥4,518.33
Upside/Downside14.21%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.19
Volatility45.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.