5233:TSETaiheiyo Cement Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
¥3,956.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Taiheiyo Cement is trading with a high trailing price‑to‑earnings ratio while its forward price‑to‑earnings appears low, suggesting a valuation disconnect that could favor upside. Technical signals are supportive, with a bullish MACD histogram, RSI in neutral territory, and price holding above short‑term moving averages, complemented by an increasing volume trend. The stock benefits from a strong dividend yield, but the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. Risk metrics show low market sensitivity given the very low beta, yet recent volatility has been elevated, reflecting the cyclical nature of the building materials sector. The balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity level, which could constrain flexibility, but operating cash flow remains robust. Analyst price targets imply modest upside, aligning with the growth narrative driven by anticipated earnings acceleration.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and price above short‑term averages
- Increasing trading volume supporting momentum
- Low beta reducing market‑wide downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings expectations driving a low forward PE
- Analyst price targets indicating upside potential
- Strong operating cash flow offsetting debt concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting financial flexibility
- Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
- Sector cyclicality and regulatory exposure to environmental rules
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.90%
Profit Margin2.83%
P/E Ratio52.4
ROE3.87%
ROA3.21%
Debt/Equity57.21
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow¥114.2B
Free Cash Flow¥2.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.4
Support¥3,486.00
Resistance¥4,276.00
MA 20¥3,738.70
MA 50¥3,691.38
MA 200¥3,929.27
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Valuation
Target Price¥4,518.33
Upside/Downside14.21%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.19
Volatility45.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.