5110:TSESumitomo Rubber Industries, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
MYR 0.81
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at roughly 0.805 MYR, hovering just above the identified support level of 0.80 and below the 20‑day SMA, indicating short‑term pressure. The 20‑day SMA sits beneath both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, a classic bearish crossover that aligns with the overall bearish trend flag. RSI sits in the low‑40s, suggesting the price is not yet oversold, while the MACD histogram shows a modest bullish tilt that has not yet translated into price strength. Volume has been on a downward trajectory, reinforcing the lack of buying conviction in the near term.
Fundamentally, the REIT appears markedly cheap, with a trailing PE ratio near 10 versus an industry average above 30 and a price‑to‑book under 0.6, signaling a substantial valuation discount. The dividend yield stands out at over 8%, but the payout ratio approaches 90%, raising questions about the long‑term sustainability of such distributions. Operating cash flow remains solid and free cash flow is positive, yet the balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of roughly 74%, leaving limited headroom for additional leverage. The combination of low beta (around 0.1) and modest 30‑day volatility points to a relatively stable price environment despite the bearish technical backdrop.
Sector‑specific risks are moderate, as the REIT is concentrated in Kuala Lumpur commercial properties, exposing it to local market cycles but limiting geographic diversification. Regulatory risk is medium given the strict oversight of REITs in Malaysia, while currency risk is low because both revenue and expenses are denominated in MYR. Liquidity risk is tempered by a decreasing volume trend and an average daily volume that trails the market cap, suggesting a potential squeeze in tight trading conditions. Overall, the stock presents a value‑oriented opportunity with a strong yield, but investors should weigh the high payout and debt load against the attractive pricing.
Fundamentally, the REIT appears markedly cheap, with a trailing PE ratio near 10 versus an industry average above 30 and a price‑to‑book under 0.6, signaling a substantial valuation discount. The dividend yield stands out at over 8%, but the payout ratio approaches 90%, raising questions about the long‑term sustainability of such distributions. Operating cash flow remains solid and free cash flow is positive, yet the balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of roughly 74%, leaving limited headroom for additional leverage. The combination of low beta (around 0.1) and modest 30‑day volatility points to a relatively stable price environment despite the bearish technical backdrop.
Sector‑specific risks are moderate, as the REIT is concentrated in Kuala Lumpur commercial properties, exposing it to local market cycles but limiting geographic diversification. Regulatory risk is medium given the strict oversight of REITs in Malaysia, while currency risk is low because both revenue and expenses are denominated in MYR. Liquidity risk is tempered by a decreasing volume trend and an average daily volume that trails the market cap, suggesting a potential squeeze in tight trading conditions. Overall, the stock presents a value‑oriented opportunity with a strong yield, but investors should weigh the high payout and debt load against the attractive pricing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price near support level
- bearish SMA crossover
- decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- significant valuation discount
- high dividend yield
- low beta and volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- stable rental income cash flow
- high payout ratio and debt concerns
- concentrated geographic exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.00%
Profit Margin40.65%
P/E Ratio10.1
ROE5.36%
ROA2.63%
Debt/Equity74.10
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowMYR81.0M
Free Cash FlowMYR29.9M
Industry P/E33.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI43.2
SupportMYR 0.80
ResistanceMYR 0.81
MA 20MYR 0.81
MA 50MYR 0.81
MA 200MYR 0.84
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.63%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.11
Volatility7.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.