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5105:TSEToyo Tire Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

CN¥2.09

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at 2.09, just below the 20‑day SMA of 2.12 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 2.08 and well over the 200‑day SMA of 1.77, indicating a lingering bullish bias. Momentum metrics are mixed: the 14‑day RSI sits at 46.9, suggesting neutral pressure, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish. Price action remains bounded by a clear support level near 2.04 and resistance around 2.21, with recent volume trending upward, reinforcing the view that buyers are defending the downside. Volatility is elevated at roughly 25% over the past 30 days, but the beta of 0.16 points to low sensitivity to broader market swings, which tempers risk. The market sentiment index reads 72.9 (Greed), implying a favorable risk appetite among investors. Overall, the technical picture supports a cautious optimism: the ETF holds its support, benefits from low market correlation, and enjoys strong buying interest, yet the bearish MACD and proximity to support counsel prudence.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above key support
  • Increasing volume indicating defensive buying
  • Mixed MACD signal warns of short‑term pullback

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish alignment of price above 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs
  • Low beta reduces exposure to market turbulence
  • Positive market sentiment (Greed index) supports upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified exposure to the CSI 500 index
  • Sustained low correlation with broader market
  • Regulatory and geographic considerations temper aggressive positioning

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.9
SupportCN¥2.04
ResistanceCN¥2.21
MA 20CN¥2.12
MA 50CN¥2.08
MA 200CN¥1.77
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility25.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.