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5101:TSEYokohama Rubber Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

MYR 0.13

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Evergreen Fibreboard is trading at MYR 0.13, well below its DCF fair value of MYR 0.286, implying roughly 77% upside potential. Technical signals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (0.1295) sits just under price, while the 50‑day SMA (0.1248) is below, suggesting a narrow neutral corridor, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD signal is flagged as bearish. Momentum is flat with an RSI of 51 and volume trending higher, indicating some buying interest but no decisive breakout. Fundamental health is weak – trailing EPS is –0.05, profit margins are negative, and ROE sits at –4.5%, while the balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity of 26.5 and a PB ratio of 0.12. The stock’s beta is very low (0.084) but 30‑day volatility is high at 68%, highlighting price swings in a low‑beta environment. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed” (88.5), which may be overstating short‑term optimism despite the underlying financial strain.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and signal
  • Negative earnings and margins
  • Price near technical support (0.12) with limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived upside of ~77%
  • Increasing volume trend indicating accumulating interest
  • Low beta suggesting limited market‑wide volatility exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to fair value
  • Diversified product mix and exposure to renewable energy initiatives
  • Potential for earnings turnaround as cyclical consumer demand recovers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-24.20%
Profit Margin-5.08%
ROE-4.54%
ROA-0.73%
Debt/Equity26.49
P/B Ratio0.1
Op. Cash FlowMYR28.0M
Free Cash FlowMYR29.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.3
SupportMYR 0.12
ResistanceMYR 0.14
MA 20MYR 0.13
MA 50MYR 0.12
MA 200MYR 0.15
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5

Valuation

Fair ValueMYR 0.29
Target PriceMYR 0.23
Upside/Downside76.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.08
Volatility67.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.