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5019:TSEIdemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time

¥1,648.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. is priced at ¥1,648.00 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 25.9%. RSI sits at 78.3, which reads as overbought, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near ¥1,310.50 and resistance around ¥1,708.50.
The shares look fair, trading on 11.7 times earnings below a sector average of 18.1. The average analyst target implies 6.7% below today's level. Revenue is growing at 23.3% on a 4.2% profit margin. The 2.18% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 37.2%, a beta of 0.11 and a maximum drawdown of 28.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 6/10.

Top Market Events

Detailed price information for Idemitsu Kosan CO Ltd Ord IDKOF from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.Detailed price information for Idemitsu Kosan CO Ltd Ord IDKOF from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.Detailed price information for Idemitsu Kosan CO Ltd Ord IDKOF from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • RSI at 78.3 signals overbought conditions
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1337.53

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • RSI at 78.3 signals overbought conditions
  • P/E of 11.7 versus sector average of 18.1

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 11.7 versus sector average of 18.1
  • Analyst targets imply -6.7% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +23.3%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth23.30%
Profit Margin4.24%
P/E Ratio11.7
ROE22.52%
ROA6.47%
Debt/Equity136.94
P/B Ratio1.2
Industry P/E18.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI78.3
Support¥1,310.50
Resistance¥1,708.50
MA 20¥1,447.95
MA 50¥1,344.43
MA 200¥1,337.53
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Target Price¥1,537.14
Upside/Downside-6.73%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.18%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility37.24%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.