5016:TSEJX Advanced Metals Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
¥4,050.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock trades well above its 20‑day (≈3829) and 50‑day (≈3007) moving averages, and the 20‑day SMA sits above the 50‑day SMA, signaling a bullish medium‑term momentum. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD line remains below its signal line, hinting at short‑term weakness. RSI is comfortably in the 60s, suggesting room for upside without being overbought.
Fundamental catalysts: Recent company guidance raised FY profit and dividend forecasts on stronger copper prices, supporting earnings growth. Revenue is expanding at ~21% YoY and the dividend payout ratio sits at ~22%, indicating dividend sustainability despite a modest 0.67% yield. Valuation metrics (PE ~37 vs industry ~34, PB ~5.6) appear stretched, and the balance sheet is highly leveraged (debt‑to‑equity >40), which tempers the upside.
Fundamental catalysts: Recent company guidance raised FY profit and dividend forecasts on stronger copper prices, supporting earnings growth. Revenue is expanding at ~21% YoY and the dividend payout ratio sits at ~22%, indicating dividend sustainability despite a modest 0.67% yield. Valuation metrics (PE ~37 vs industry ~34, PB ~5.6) appear stretched, and the balance sheet is highly leveraged (debt‑to‑equity >40), which tempers the upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish SMA crossover supports near‑term stability
- Negative MACD histogram indicates short‑term pressure
- High 30‑day volatility raises price swing risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of ~21% and upgraded profit outlook
- Dividend increase and low payout ratio enhance yield appeal
- Price remains below 52‑week high with supportive technical trend
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained demand for copper and rare‑metal alloys in semiconductors
- Elevated leverage and stretched valuation could limit upside
- Stable geographic and currency environment in Japan
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth21.20%
Profit Margin12.54%
P/E Ratio36.9
Debt/Equity42.61
P/B Ratio5.7
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.6
Support¥3,177.00
Resistance¥4,768.00
MA 20¥3,829.25
MA 50¥3,007.08
MA 200¥1,780.94
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target Price¥3,261.82
Upside/Downside-19.46%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.67%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.64
Volatility91.41%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.