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4967:TSEKobayashi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

NT$208.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Team Group Inc. is trading at TWD 208.5, comfortably above its 20‑day (199.85) and 50‑day (202.89) simple moving averages but still well below the 200‑day average of 122.5, indicating a short‑term price strength that has not yet translated into a longer‑term uptrend. Technical indicators are mixed: the RSI sits at a neutral 54.6, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence with the line below the signal, suggesting potential downside pressure as the price approaches the identified resistance of 233. Volatility is high at 75.9% over the past 30 days, and the beta of 0.51 points to lower systematic risk than the market, yet the stock remains exposed to sector‑specific swings. On the valuation side, the trailing P/E of 16.1 is well under the industry average of 34.3, positioning the stock as undervalued relative to peers, though a price‑to‑book of 3.66 signals a premium on assets. The company delivers a solid ROE of 25% and a modest dividend yield of 1.52% with a low payout ratio of 23%, but negative operating and free cash flow coupled with a debt‑to‑equity of 66.7% raise concerns about the sustainability of the dividend and balance‑sheet resilience. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation and strong profitability is tempered by cash‑flow weakness, high volatility, and a neutral technical outlook, suggesting a cautious but potentially rewarding investment case.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD divergence
  • price near resistance level
  • high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • significant valuation discount to industry P/E
  • strong ROE and modest dividend yield
  • stable trading volume supporting liquidity

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • growth potential in memory and SSD markets
  • undervalued relative to sector peers
  • manageable beta indicating lower market‑wide risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth94.40%
Profit Margin5.43%
P/E Ratio16.1
ROE25.08%
ROA7.05%
Debt/Equity66.71
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash FlowNT$-3520704000
Free Cash FlowNT$-3690304512
Industry P/E34.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI54.6
SupportNT$170.50
ResistanceNT$233.00
MA 20NT$199.85
MA 50NT$202.89
MA 200NT$122.52
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.73

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.52%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.51
Volatility75.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.