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4904:TWSEFar Eastone Telecommunications Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-03 - not real-time

NT$105.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Far EasTone (4904.TW) is trading at TWD 105, just above its 50‑day (≈100.4) and 200‑day (≈93.0) simple moving averages but slightly below the 20‑day SMA of 106.6, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI sits at 52.6, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD shows a bearish histogram (‑0.89) and a signal line above the MACD line, hinting at possible downside pressure. Volume has been increasing, supporting the current price action. The stock’s beta is essentially flat (‑0.02), meaning it moves little with the broader market, yet 30‑day volatility is high at ~24.8%, reflecting sizable price swings. The company posted record quarterly revenue driven by 5G and Smart ICT initiatives, with revenue growth of 4% YoY.
Extreme Greed on the Fear & Greed index (93) signals strong market enthusiasm, but the valuation appears stretched: a trailing P/E of 27.6 far exceeds the telecom industry average of 16.7 and the DCF fair value of ~96.7 TWD, implying a modest downside of about 2%. The price‑to‑book ratio of 3.95 and a payout ratio of 94% further signal limited headroom despite an attractive dividend yield of 3.7%. Cash generation remains strong, with free cash flow exceeding TWD 24 bn and a moderate debt‑to‑equity of 46.7%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near short‑term SMA20 resistance
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential downside
  • Increasing trading volume supporting current price

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • 5G and Smart ICT revenue tailwinds driving growth
  • Strong free cash flow sustaining dividend and reinvestment
  • Moderate debt level and stable earnings profile

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained cash generation underpinning dividend payments
  • High dividend payout ratio limiting financial flexibility
  • Long‑term telecom demand stability in Taiwan

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.00%
Profit Margin12.74%
P/E Ratio27.6
ROE14.60%
ROA6.06%
Debt/Equity46.68
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$34.5B
Free Cash FlowNT$24.6B
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.6
SupportNT$100.00
ResistanceNT$113.50
MA 20NT$106.65
MA 50NT$100.39
MA 200NT$93.00
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$96.74
Target PriceNT$103.00
Upside/Downside-1.90%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.02
Volatility24.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.