We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

4902:TSEKonica Minolta, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

¥590.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Konica Minolta has slipped sharply to ¥590.8, sitting just above the calculated support of ¥565.5, while technicals remain bullish – the MACD line sits above its signal and the histogram is positive, and the 20‑day SMA (¥620) is still above the current price, suggesting room for a bounce. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a PE of ~9x versus an industry average of ~31x and a PB of 0.54, placing it deep in value territory. The DCF model pegs fair value near ¥978, implying a material upside despite a recent 33% drawdown and a 30‑day volatility of over 60%. Dividend sustainability looks strong with a 3.05% yield, a low 18% payout, ample cash on hand and robust operating cash flow, though the balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~70%.
Overall, the combination of cheap valuation, attractive dividend, and bullish momentum offsets elevated volatility and debt concerns, making the stock a potential opportunistic buy for value‑oriented investors while warranting caution on the near‑term price swing.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and positive histogram
  • Price near technical support with upside potential
  • High dividend yield providing downside buffer

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Strong cash generation and low payout ratio
  • Undervalued multiples relative to industry peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Modest revenue growth and thin operating margins
  • Elevated debt level despite ample cash
  • Structural shift toward digital workplace solutions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.90%
Profit Margin2.81%
P/E Ratio9.1
ROE6.53%
ROA2.83%
Debt/Equity70.47
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow¥109.5B
Free Cash Flow¥52.6B
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI44.3
Support¥565.50
Resistance¥708.00
MA 20¥620.44
MA 50¥600.22
MA 200¥599.78
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Fair Value¥978.35
Target Price¥666.25
Upside/Downside12.77%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.05%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.51
Volatility60.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.