4887:TSESAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-29 - not real-time
¥1,613.50
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Sawai Group Holdings Co., Ltd. is bearish at ¥1,613.50, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 4.7%. Relative strength is 44.1 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Watch ¥1,550.50 as support and ¥1,725.00 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 16.2 times earnings below a sector average of 30.5. The average analyst target implies 35.2% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 4.3%. The 3.47% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 21.5%, a beta of 0.08 and a maximum drawdown of 34.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 16.2 times earnings below a sector average of 30.5. The average analyst target implies 35.2% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 4.3%. The 3.47% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 21.5%, a beta of 0.08 and a maximum drawdown of 34.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Yahoo Finance9monSawai Group Holdings TSE:4887 : Assessing Valuation After Patent Settlement and Earnings Forecast...Microsoft and our third-party vendors use cookies to store and access information such as unique IDs and personal...Hosted on MSN9monSawai Group Holdings Sees Revenue Growth Amid Profit DeclineAn update from SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 2014.39
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 16.2 versus sector average of 30.5
- Trading below the 200-day average of 2014.39
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 16.2 versus sector average of 30.5
- Analyst targets imply +35.2% versus the current price
- Negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.30%
P/E Ratio16.2
Debt/Equity66.97
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow¥20.4B
Free Cash Flow¥-10861750272
Industry P/E30.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.1
Support¥1,550.50
Resistance¥1,725.00
MA 20¥1,621.20
MA 50¥1,655.46
MA 200¥2,014.40
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.66
Valuation
Fair Value¥1,108.19
Target Price¥2,182.22
Upside/Downside35.25%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.47%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.08
Volatility21.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.