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4732:TSEUSS Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

¥1,877.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

USS Co., Ltd. is trading at ¥1,877, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of ¥1,804.95 and the 50‑day SMA of ¥1,753.06, confirming a bullish price action supported by a MACD histogram of +¥10.79 and a bullish MACD signal. RSI sits at 64.5, indicating strong momentum but still below overbought levels, while the beta near zero (-0.06) suggests minimal market‑wide volatility exposure. The company delivers robust fundamentals: 12.8% revenue growth, a 52% operating margin, and free cash flow of ¥28.75 bn, backed by a massive cash pile of ¥110.4 bn and negligible debt. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥1,671 is well below the current price, flagging the stock as overvalued despite its solid earnings profile. The dividend yield of 2.93% with a 61.8% payout ratio appears sustainable given the strong cash generation and low leverage. In summary, the stock shows strong short‑term technical momentum and solid fundamentals, but valuation pressure and sector cyclicality temper upside expectations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above key moving averages
  • RSI indicating strong but not overbought momentum
  • Current price near recent resistance at ¥1,943.5

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Attractive dividend yield with solid cash flow
  • Valuation premium relative to DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash generation and low debt supporting dividend sustainability
  • Long‑term demand for used‑vehicle auctions and recycling services
  • Low beta and modest volatility offering defensive characteristics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.80%
Profit Margin36.33%
P/E Ratio21.2
ROE20.03%
ROA13.92%
Debt/Equity0.99
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow¥43.9B
Free Cash Flow¥28.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI64.5
Support¥1,719.50
Resistance¥1,943.50
MA 20¥1,804.95
MA 50¥1,753.06
MA 200¥1,748.13
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,671.31
Target Price¥2,026.67
Upside/Downside7.97%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.06
Volatility20.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.