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4686:TSEJUSTSYSTEMS CORPORATION Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

¥3,795.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

JustSystems is trading at ¥3,795, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of ¥3,954 and far under the 200‑day SMA of ¥4,397, signaling a potential upside from a technical perspective. The RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting short‑term pressure. The stock currently hovers above its identified support at ¥3,715 and well beneath the resistance at ¥4,290, offering a modest upside cushion. Valuation metrics are striking: a trailing P/E of 16.2 is dramatically lower than the industry average of 36.8, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥6,773 implies the market is pricing the company at roughly 44% of intrinsic worth. On the fundamentals side, JustSystems boasts a 12% revenue growth rate, an 80% gross margin, and a robust operating margin of 38%, underscoring strong profitability. With zero debt, a cash pile exceeding ¥114 billion, and free cash flow of ¥14.5 billion, the balance sheet is exceptionally solid.
The dividend yield of 0.79% is modest but the payout ratio of just 11.5% of earnings points to sustainable dividend policy. Low beta (≈0.3) and a volatility of 26.8% over the past month suggest the stock is less correlated with market swings yet still experiences notable price swings. Overall, the combination of deep valuation discount, strong cash generation, and limited downside risk makes JustSystems an attractive candidate for investors seeking both value and growth exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support level with limited upside to resistance
  • Bearish MACD and neutral RSI suggest caution
  • High valuation gap but short‑term technical pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant undervaluation relative to peers (P/E 16 vs industry 37)
  • Strong cash position and zero debt provide financial flexibility
  • Revenue growth of 12% and high margins support earnings expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Robust free cash flow and high ROE indicating durable profitability
  • Long‑term secular demand for Japanese language software and enterprise solutions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.20%
Profit Margin29.30%
P/E Ratio16.2
ROE13.49%
ROA10.92%
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow¥19.6B
Free Cash Flow¥14.5B
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.3
Support¥3,715.00
Resistance¥4,290.00
MA 20¥3,954.00
MA 50¥3,756.20
MA 200¥4,396.60
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value¥6,772.97
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.79%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility26.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.