4686:TSEJUSTSYSTEMS CORPORATION Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
¥3,795.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
JustSystems is trading at ¥3,795, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of ¥3,954 and far under the 200‑day SMA of ¥4,397, signaling a potential upside from a technical perspective. The RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting short‑term pressure. The stock currently hovers above its identified support at ¥3,715 and well beneath the resistance at ¥4,290, offering a modest upside cushion. Valuation metrics are striking: a trailing P/E of 16.2 is dramatically lower than the industry average of 36.8, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥6,773 implies the market is pricing the company at roughly 44% of intrinsic worth. On the fundamentals side, JustSystems boasts a 12% revenue growth rate, an 80% gross margin, and a robust operating margin of 38%, underscoring strong profitability. With zero debt, a cash pile exceeding ¥114 billion, and free cash flow of ¥14.5 billion, the balance sheet is exceptionally solid.
The dividend yield of 0.79% is modest but the payout ratio of just 11.5% of earnings points to sustainable dividend policy. Low beta (≈0.3) and a volatility of 26.8% over the past month suggest the stock is less correlated with market swings yet still experiences notable price swings. Overall, the combination of deep valuation discount, strong cash generation, and limited downside risk makes JustSystems an attractive candidate for investors seeking both value and growth exposure.
The dividend yield of 0.79% is modest but the payout ratio of just 11.5% of earnings points to sustainable dividend policy. Low beta (≈0.3) and a volatility of 26.8% over the past month suggest the stock is less correlated with market swings yet still experiences notable price swings. Overall, the combination of deep valuation discount, strong cash generation, and limited downside risk makes JustSystems an attractive candidate for investors seeking both value and growth exposure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support level with limited upside to resistance
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI suggest caution
- High valuation gap but short‑term technical pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant undervaluation relative to peers (P/E 16 vs industry 37)
- Strong cash position and zero debt provide financial flexibility
- Revenue growth of 12% and high margins support earnings expansion
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Robust free cash flow and high ROE indicating durable profitability
- Long‑term secular demand for Japanese language software and enterprise solutions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.20%
Profit Margin29.30%
P/E Ratio16.2
ROE13.49%
ROA10.92%
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow¥19.6B
Free Cash Flow¥14.5B
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.3
Support¥3,715.00
Resistance¥4,290.00
MA 20¥3,954.00
MA 50¥3,756.20
MA 200¥4,396.60
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value¥6,772.97
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.79%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility26.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.