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4680:TSEROUND ONE Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-10 - not real-time

¥1,365.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Round One Corporation is priced at ¥1,365.00 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. The last 30 days have gained 19.9%. With RSI at 69.6 the momentum picture is approaching overbought, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Watch ¥1,150.50 as support and ¥1,368.00 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look fair at 21.6 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Analyst price targets sit 9.7% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 6.9% on a 8.8% profit margin. The 1.36% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 7/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 42.0%, a beta of 0.10 and a maximum drawdown of 51.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — buy short-term against hold longer out, with 2/10 conviction on the long call.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1039.20
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1039.20
  • Analyst targets imply +9.7% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +9.7% versus the current price
  • P/E ratio of 21.6
  • Return on equity of 22.2%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.90%
Profit Margin8.77%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE22.23%
ROA6.48%
Debt/Equity227.50
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow¥60.5B
Free Cash Flow¥25.6B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI69.6
Support¥1,150.50
Resistance¥1,368.00
MA 20¥1,256.38
MA 50¥1,145.38
MA 200¥1,039.20
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.82

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,167.21
Target Price¥1,497.50
Upside/Downside9.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.36%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility42.04%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.