We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

4676:TSEFuji Media Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

¥4,045.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fuji Media Holdings trades at a trailing PE of roughly 123×, far above the sector average of ~17×, indicating a clear overvaluation in the current price (≈¥4,045). The MACD histogram is strongly bullish (+36) and the RSI sits at a neutral 57, suggesting short‑term momentum remains positive but not extreme. However, the stock’s beta of 0.13 and a 30‑day volatility of 33% point to a low systematic risk profile, while the max drawdown of –19% signals notable downside potential. The dividend yield of 4.94% appears attractive, yet the payout ratio of 3.8× earnings raises concerns about dividend sustainability. Support sits at ¥3,615 and resistance at ¥4,272, leaving the price just above the mid‑point of its range, which combined with increasing volume, makes the immediate outlook neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish on a tactical basis.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram
  • Neutral RSI
  • Price near support with increasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Overvalued PE relative to industry
  • Modest revenue growth (16%)
  • High forward PE suggesting potential price correction

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
  • Low operating and profit margins
  • Elevated max drawdown and volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.00%
Profit Margin1.18%
P/E Ratio123.5
ROE1.01%
ROA-0.38%
Debt/Equity109.56
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥-341000000
Free Cash Flow¥-96992002048
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.2
Support¥3,615.00
Resistance¥4,272.00
MA 20¥3,882.75
MA 50¥3,971.02
MA 200¥3,666.71
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price¥4,123.33
Upside/Downside1.94%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.94%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.02
Volatility33.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.