4676:TSEFuji Media Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
¥4,045.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fuji Media Holdings trades at a trailing PE of roughly 123×, far above the sector average of ~17×, indicating a clear overvaluation in the current price (≈¥4,045). The MACD histogram is strongly bullish (+36) and the RSI sits at a neutral 57, suggesting short‑term momentum remains positive but not extreme. However, the stock’s beta of 0.13 and a 30‑day volatility of 33% point to a low systematic risk profile, while the max drawdown of –19% signals notable downside potential. The dividend yield of 4.94% appears attractive, yet the payout ratio of 3.8× earnings raises concerns about dividend sustainability. Support sits at ¥3,615 and resistance at ¥4,272, leaving the price just above the mid‑point of its range, which combined with increasing volume, makes the immediate outlook neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish on a tactical basis.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram
- Neutral RSI
- Price near support with increasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Overvalued PE relative to industry
- Modest revenue growth (16%)
- High forward PE suggesting potential price correction
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
- Low operating and profit margins
- Elevated max drawdown and volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.00%
Profit Margin1.18%
P/E Ratio123.5
ROE1.01%
ROA-0.38%
Debt/Equity109.56
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥-341000000
Free Cash Flow¥-96992002048
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.2
Support¥3,615.00
Resistance¥4,272.00
MA 20¥3,882.75
MA 50¥3,971.02
MA 200¥3,666.71
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price¥4,123.33
Upside/Downside1.94%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.94%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.02
Volatility33.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.