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4613:TSEKansai Paint Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time

₩17,030.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

i‑Scream Media is trading near its short‑term moving averages, with the price sandwiched between the 20‑day and 50‑day SMA and just below the 200‑day SMA, suggesting a neutral technical stance. The RSI hovers around the midpoint, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, delivering a bullish signal despite a decreasing volume trend and elevated 30‑day volatility. Market sentiment is extremely optimistic, as reflected by the fear‑and‑greed index, and the stock’s low beta indicates limited correlation with broader market swings.
Fundamentally, the company shows strong top‑line momentum with double‑digit revenue growth and an impressive gross margin, yet operating profitability remains negative, offset by a healthy net profit margin. A robust cash pile and modest debt level underpin a generous dividend yield, and the payout ratio sits comfortably within sustainable bounds. The discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value far above the current price, highlighting a significant undervaluation opportunity, while the high dividend yield adds an attractive income component.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram
  • Price near key moving averages
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived fair value far exceeds market price
  • Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend
  • Solid revenue growth and high gross margin

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term dividend sustainability
  • Defensive consumer sector providing stable demand
  • Undervaluation relative to intrinsic value despite operating losses

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.60%
Profit Margin24.89%
ROE27.20%
ROA16.73%
Debt/Equity6.39
Op. Cash Flow₩63.8B
Free Cash Flow₩22.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.4
Support₩15,810.00
Resistance₩18,780.00
MA 20₩16,960.00
MA 50₩16,944.40
MA 200₩17,530.35
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value₩53,189.48
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield13.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.39
Volatility45.12%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.