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4613:TSEKansai Paint Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

₩16,400.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

i‑Scream Media is trading below its short‑term moving averages, with the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs sitting above the current price, while the RSI hovers in the mid‑40s, suggesting neutral momentum. The MACD line remains below its signal, reinforcing a bearish technical tilt, and volume trends downward, adding to short‑term uncertainty. Despite this, the stock offers a very high dividend yield and a discounted DCF fair value that is more than triple the market price, pointing to substantial upside potential.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong top‑line growth and robust cash generation, yet operating profitability is weak, reflected by a negative operating margin. The balance sheet is cash‑rich with modest debt, supporting the dividend payout. Operating in the consumer‑defensive education sector, the business faces moderate regulatory and geographic exposure, but its defensive nature and attractive yield make it a compelling value play for longer horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • bearish MACD histogram
  • high dividend yield cushioning downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • significant valuation gap versus DCF fair value
  • solid revenue growth and cash generation
  • sustainable dividend supported by strong cash position

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • defensive education sector offering stable demand
  • potential improvement in operating profitability
  • long‑term upside from undervaluation and dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.60%
Profit Margin24.89%
ROE27.20%
ROA16.73%
Debt/Equity6.39
Op. Cash Flow₩63.8B
Free Cash Flow₩22.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.2
Support₩15,810.00
Resistance₩18,780.00
MA 20₩17,131.00
MA 50₩16,846.80
MA 200₩17,597.45
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value₩53,702.51
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield13.98%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.26
Volatility48.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.