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4612:TSENippon Paint Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-18 - not real-time

¥1,225.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥1,225.00, Nippon Paint Holdings Co., Ltd. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has gained 12.6%. RSI sits at 58.8, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at ¥1,091.00 up to resistance at ¥1,282.50.
The shares look fair at 19.5 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 3.7% above the current quote. The 1.38% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 29.2%, a beta of 0.22 and a maximum drawdown of 22.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Yahoo Finance11hNIPPON PAINT HOLDINGS CO LTD 4612.Yahoo Finance5dNIPPON PAINT HOLDINGS CO LTD 4612.Find out the direct holders, institutional holders and mutual fund holders for Nippon Paint Holdings Co.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1049.54
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 1049.54
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E ratio of 19.5
  • Dividend yield of 1.38%
  • Price-to-book of 1.42

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin10.30%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE11.34%
ROA4.45%
Debt/Equity70.36
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow¥274.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.8
Support¥1,091.00
Resistance¥1,282.50
MA 20¥1,206.58
MA 50¥1,117.48
MA 200¥1,049.54
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Fair Value¥649.80
Target Price¥1,270.91
Upside/Downside3.75%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility29.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.