4612:TSENippon Paint Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time
¥977.80
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, with an RSI hovering around the neutral 40‑level and a bearish MACD histogram, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. However, price remains comfortably above the identified support near ¥960, providing a modest cushion.
Fundamental outlook: Recent earnings calls highlight a >20% YoY revenue surge and a ~38% jump in operating profit, while the company maintains a solid gross margin of ~43% and an operating margin near 15%. The dividend yield of ~1.7% with a payout ratio under 30% appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow and a cash‑rich balance sheet, despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Analysts’ consensus is a “Buy” with a median price target of ¥1,100, implying upside potential relative to the current price.
Fundamental outlook: Recent earnings calls highlight a >20% YoY revenue surge and a ~38% jump in operating profit, while the company maintains a solid gross margin of ~43% and an operating margin near 15%. The dividend yield of ~1.7% with a payout ratio under 30% appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow and a cash‑rich balance sheet, despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Analysts’ consensus is a “Buy” with a median price target of ¥1,100, implying upside potential relative to the current price.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support
- Bearish MACD momentum
- Attractive dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong Q1 revenue and profit growth
- Analyst price targets indicating upside
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust cash generation and low beta
- Global diversification across automotive, industrial and decorative segments
- Stable earnings margins and solid balance sheet
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin10.52%
P/E Ratio18.2
ROE11.47%
ROA4.39%
Debt/Equity73.93
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥230.1B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI40.9
Support¥959.80
Resistance¥1,071.00
MA 20¥1,016.87
MA 50¥1,003.29
MA 200¥1,034.73
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Valuation
Fair Value¥474.66
Target Price¥1,193.00
Upside/Downside22.01%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.74%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility27.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.