4528:TSEONO Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time
NT$15.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Current price of TWD 15.5 sits below the 20‑day SMA of 15.88 and the 50‑day SMA of 17.07, reinforcing a bearish price trend. The RSI of 37.4 indicates modest downside momentum but not yet oversold, while the MACD histogram turning positive suggests a potential short‑term bullish reversal. Volatility is elevated at 32% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.01 points to minimal market‑wide risk exposure. Fundamentals show a modest revenue growth of 4.1% but a negative profit margin and ROE, highlighting earnings weakness. The balance sheet carries a debt‑to‑equity of 51% with cash of TWD 0.80 bn, leaving a net debt position that is manageable but not negligible. Valuation metrics are compelling: a price‑to‑book of 0.58, price‑to‑sales of 0.83, and a DCF‑derived fair value of TWD 32.27 imply significant upside. However, the company pays no dividend, and earnings are currently negative, limiting immediate income appeal. The decreasing volume trend and a recent support level near 15.40 suggest limited short‑term downside but also a liquidity caution. Overall, the stock appears undervalued from a value perspective, yet the earnings and margin profile remain a concern.
Given the cyclical nature of the auto‑parts sector and Taiwan’s moderate geopolitical exposure, investors should weigh the upside potential against the earnings fragility and volatility. A patient stance may be warranted, with attention to any operational turnaround or margin improvement that could unlock the substantial valuation gap.
Given the cyclical nature of the auto‑parts sector and Taiwan’s moderate geopolitical exposure, investors should weigh the upside potential against the earnings fragility and volatility. A patient stance may be warranted, with attention to any operational turnaround or margin improvement that could unlock the substantial valuation gap.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at 15.40
- MACD histogram turning positive
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
- Negative earnings and thin margins
- Moderate leverage with net debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant upside to fair value target
- Low beta indicating limited market risk
- Potential for margin improvement and earnings recovery
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.10%
Profit Margin-1.63%
P/E Ratio14.2
ROE-1.14%
ROA0.06%
Debt/Equity51.28
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$235.9M
Free Cash FlowNT$194.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.4
SupportNT$15.40
ResistanceNT$17.15
MA 20NT$15.88
MA 50NT$17.06
MA 200NT$17.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.29
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$32.27
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.01
Volatility32.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.