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4528:TSEONO Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

NT$15.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Current price of TWD 15.5 sits below the 20‑day SMA of 15.88 and the 50‑day SMA of 17.07, reinforcing a bearish price trend. The RSI of 37.4 indicates modest downside momentum but not yet oversold, while the MACD histogram turning positive suggests a potential short‑term bullish reversal. Volatility is elevated at 32% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.01 points to minimal market‑wide risk exposure. Fundamentals show a modest revenue growth of 4.1% but a negative profit margin and ROE, highlighting earnings weakness. The balance sheet carries a debt‑to‑equity of 51% with cash of TWD 0.80 bn, leaving a net debt position that is manageable but not negligible. Valuation metrics are compelling: a price‑to‑book of 0.58, price‑to‑sales of 0.83, and a DCF‑derived fair value of TWD 32.27 imply significant upside. However, the company pays no dividend, and earnings are currently negative, limiting immediate income appeal. The decreasing volume trend and a recent support level near 15.40 suggest limited short‑term downside but also a liquidity caution. Overall, the stock appears undervalued from a value perspective, yet the earnings and margin profile remain a concern.
Given the cyclical nature of the auto‑parts sector and Taiwan’s moderate geopolitical exposure, investors should weigh the upside potential against the earnings fragility and volatility. A patient stance may be warranted, with attention to any operational turnaround or margin improvement that could unlock the substantial valuation gap.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support at 15.40
  • MACD histogram turning positive
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Negative earnings and thin margins
  • Moderate leverage with net debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside to fair value target
  • Low beta indicating limited market risk
  • Potential for margin improvement and earnings recovery

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.10%
Profit Margin-1.63%
P/E Ratio14.2
ROE-1.14%
ROA0.06%
Debt/Equity51.28
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$235.9M
Free Cash FlowNT$194.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.4
SupportNT$15.40
ResistanceNT$17.15
MA 20NT$15.88
MA 50NT$17.06
MA 200NT$17.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.29

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$32.27
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.01
Volatility32.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.