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4519:TSEChugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-18 - not real-time

¥6,847.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥6,847.00, Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 10.4%. RSI sits at 42.1, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at ¥6,575.00 up to resistance at ¥7,509.00.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 23.9 times earnings below a sector average of 30.2. Consensus targets land 36.6% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 17.8% on a 35.1% profit margin. The 1.92% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 36.3%, a beta of 0.18 and a maximum drawdown of 36.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 5 out of 10.

Top Market Events

TOKYO dpa-AFX - Chugai Pharmaceutical Co.Yahoo Finance13dCHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO 4519.Seeking Alpha6monChugai Pharmaceutical Co.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 8133.97
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 23.9 versus sector average of 30.2
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 8133.97

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 23.9 versus sector average of 30.2
  • Analyst targets imply +36.6% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 35.1% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.80%
Profit Margin35.10%
P/E Ratio23.9
ROE23.49%
ROA16.83%
P/B Ratio5.6
Op. Cash Flow¥449.3B
Free Cash Flow¥328.5B
Industry P/E30.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.1
Support¥6,575.00
Resistance¥7,509.00
MA 20¥7,002.05
MA 50¥7,266.62
MA 200¥8,133.97
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.36

Valuation

Fair Value¥5,899.81
Target Price¥9,350.00
Upside/Downside36.56%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.92%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility36.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.