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450080:KRXEcopro Materials Co Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-02 - not real-time

₩57,600.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

ECOPRO MAT is trading at KRW 57,600, comfortably below its 20‑day (KRW 68,465), 50‑day (KRW 71,792) and 200‑day (KRW 61,945) simple moving averages, suggesting a short‑term price weakness. RSI sits at 34.3, indicating the stock is in oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative and the signal line is bearish, pointing to continued downside momentum. Volume is on a decreasing trend and the 30‑day volatility is a steep 71.5%, amplifying the risk of sharp price swings. The market prices the company at a forward P/E of 35.9, yet the discounted cash‑flow fair value is only KRW 27,280 – less than half the current price, flagging a significant overvaluation. Financially, the firm carries a massive debt load (Debt‑to‑Equity ≈ 45) and a negative free cash flow of KRW ‑249 bn, while operating margins are thin and gross margin is negative, underscoring weak profitability. Despite a modest profit margin of 6.1% and exposure to the fast‑growing EV battery market, the balance sheet stress and lack of dividend make the equity financially fragile. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting heightened market optimism that may be disconnected from fundamentals. With a beta around 2.0, the stock is highly sensitive to broader market moves, and the current support at KRW 57,000 is barely holding the price. In this context, the upside potential to the resistance level of KRW 86,400 appears speculative given the structural challenges.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • High volatility and beta amplifying downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside if EV battery demand materializes
  • Continued balance‑sheet pressure and negative free cash flow
  • Support level near KRW 57,000 offering limited downside cushion

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic exposure to the growing battery materials market
  • Need for debt reduction and cash‑flow improvement
  • Current valuation far above DCF fair value, limiting upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth30.80%
Profit Margin6.14%
P/E Ratio35.9
ROE2.56%
ROA-2.71%
Debt/Equity45.15
Op. Cash Flow₩94.4B
Free Cash Flow₩-249147686912
Industry P/E29.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.3
Support₩57,000.00
Resistance₩86,400.00
MA 20₩68,465.00
MA 50₩71,792.00
MA 200₩61,945.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.77

Valuation

Fair Value₩27,280.31
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.00
Volatility71.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.