4182:TSEMitsubishi Gas Chemical Company, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
¥4,118.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price action: Mitsubishi Gas Chemical trades at ¥4,118, comfortably above its 50‑day (¥3,622) and 200‑day (¥2,838) moving averages but below the 20‑day SMA (¥4,387), signaling short‑term pressure near the identified support of ¥3,976. The stock sits in a bullish trend zone, with a modest upside potential of about 7 % to the target mean price of ¥4,410, while the MACD histogram is negative and the RSI hovers around 50, indicating mixed momentum.
Fundamentals & valuation: The company reports a 3.7 % revenue decline and a negative profit margin (‑2.2 %), yet forward EPS is projected at ¥276.36, delivering a forward P/E of ~14.9. Valuation multiples are modest (P/B 1.26, P/S 1.08) and the dividend yield stands at 2.43 % with a 41.5 % payout ratio. However, a high debt‑to‑equity of 37.2 and zero operating cash flow raise sustainability concerns, making the dividend’s durability questionable.
Fundamentals & valuation: The company reports a 3.7 % revenue decline and a negative profit margin (‑2.2 %), yet forward EPS is projected at ¥276.36, delivering a forward P/E of ~14.9. Valuation multiples are modest (P/B 1.26, P/S 1.08) and the dividend yield stands at 2.43 % with a 41.5 % payout ratio. However, a high debt‑to‑equity of 37.2 and zero operating cash flow raise sustainability concerns, making the dividend’s durability questionable.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at ¥3,976
- Bearish MACD signal despite overall bullish trend
- High 30‑day volatility (~89 %)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS turnaround and reasonable forward P/E (~14.9)
- Target price upside of ~7 % to ¥4,410
- Attractive dividend yield (2.43 %) with moderate payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio (37.2) limiting financial flexibility
- Cyclical nature of specialty chemicals sector
- Uncertainty around dividend sustainability due to zero cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.70%
Profit Margin-2.20%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE-1.59%
ROA2.40%
Debt/Equity37.17
P/B Ratio1.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI50.6
Support¥3,976.00
Resistance¥5,446.00
MA 20¥4,387.10
MA 50¥3,621.60
MA 200¥2,838.14
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target Price¥4,410.00
Upside/Downside7.09%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.43%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility89.41%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.